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Serie A
Referee: S Sozza
Sassuolo
U U T S S
1–2
Full-time
Inter
S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sassuolo Inter
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Serie A · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
50%
88%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
2,3
3,4
Scored
1,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
15 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 4
7 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
0 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sassuolo 8. · Inter 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 8 6 2 0 +12 20
2 Atalanta 8 6 2 0 +9 20
3 Udinese 8 6 1 1 +9 19
4 Lazio 8 5 2 1 +12 17
5 Milan 8 5 2 1 +7 17
6 Roma 8 5 1 2 +2 16
7 Juventus 8 3 4 1 +7 13
8 Sassuolo 8 3 3 2 +2 12
9 Inter 8 4 0 4 +1 12
10 Torino 8 3 1 4 -3 10
11 Fiorentina 8 2 3 3 +0 9
12 Spezia 8 2 2 4 -8 8
13 Lecce 8 1 4 3 -2 7
14 Salernitana 8 1 4 3 -3 7
15 Empoli 8 1 4 3 -3 7
16 Monza 8 2 1 5 -7 7
17 Bologna 8 1 3 4 -6 6
18 Verona 8 1 2 5 -8 5
19 Cremonese 8 0 3 5 -9 3
20 Sampdoria 8 0 2 6 -12 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sassuolo Inter
19′
🟨 Kristjan Asllani
Gian Marco Ferrari 🟨
21′
44′
E. Džeko 0–1
D. Dumfries
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 H. Mkhitaryan
↦ K. Asllani
55′
🟨 Danilo D'Ambrosio
58′
🔁 M. Škriniar
↦ D. DAmbrosio
1–1 D. Frattesi
Rogério
60′
68′
🔁 M. Darmian
↦ F. Dimarco
J. Antiste 🔁
↦ E. Ceïde
71′
A. Harroui 🔁
↦ K. Thorstvedt
71′
Abdou Harroui 🟨
72′
75′
E. Džeko 1–2
H. Mkhitaryan
A. Álvarez 🔁
↦ D. Frattesi
82′
K. Ayhan 🔁
↦ M. Erlić
82′
84′
🔁 R. Gagliardini
↦ N. Barella
Ruan 🔁
↦ G. Ferrari
89′
Ruan 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Sassuolo

4-3-3
47 A. Consigli G
22 J. Toljan D
28 M. Erlić D
13 G. Ferrari D
6 Rogério D
16 D. Frattesi M
27 M. Lopez M
42 K. Thorstvedt M
15 E. Ceïde F
9 A. Pinamonti F
45 A. Laurienté F
Bench (12)
18 J. Antiste
8 A. Harroui
11 A. Álvarez
5 K. Ayhan
44 Ruan
3 R. Marchizza
7 Matheus Henrique
64 A. Russo
35 L. D'Andrea
77 G. Kiriakopoulos
14 Pedro Obiang
25 G. Pegolo

Coach: A. Dionisi

Inter

3-5-2
24 A. Onana G
33 D. D'Ambrosio D
15 F. Acerbi D
95 A. Bastoni D
2 D. Dumfries M
23 N. Barella M
14 K. Asllani M
20 H. Çalhanoğlu M
32 F. Dimarco M
10 Lautaro Martínez F
9 E. Džeko F
Bench (12)
22 H. Mkhitaryan
37 M. Škriniar
36 M. Darmian
5 R. Gagliardini
45 V. Carboni
6 S. de Vrij
40 N. Botis
42 D. Curatolo
8 R. Gosens
12 R. Bellanova
50 A. Stanković
1 S. Handanovič

Coach: S. Inzaghi

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,41
U
4,18
B ✓
1,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,60
U2,5
2,36
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

S Sozza · 115 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.