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Ligue 2
Referee: W Toulliou
Pau FC
U U S S T
2–2
Full-time
Rodez
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pau FC Rodez
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,0
-0,2
This season — Ligue 2 · 10/10 matches
Win Ø 20%
20%
20%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 40%
40%
40%
Average goals
2,1
2,1
Scored
0,7
0,8
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

53% Possession 47%
12 Shots 8
4 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 2
6 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Pau FC 17. · Rodez 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bordeaux 11 7 2 2 +11 23
2 Amiens 10 6 2 2 +4 20
3 Sochaux 10 6 1 3 +11 19
4 Le Havre 10 5 4 1 +11 19
5 Guingamp 10 5 3 2 +6 18
6 Valenciennes 10 4 4 2 +1 16
7 Bastia 10 5 1 4 -1 16
8 Caen 10 4 3 3 +4 15
9 Metz 11 4 2 5 +1 14
10 Paris FC 10 3 4 3 -1 13
11 Grenoble 10 3 4 3 -2 13
12 Dijon 10 3 3 4 -3 12
13 St Etienne 10 2 5 3 -1 11
14 Laval 10 3 1 6 -4 10
15 Rodez 10 2 4 4 -5 10
16 Quevilly Rouen 10 2 4 4 -6 10
17 Pau FC 10 2 4 4 -7 10
18 Annecy 10 2 3 5 -4 9
19 Nimes 10 2 2 6 -5 8
20 Niort 10 2 2 6 -10 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pau FC Rodez
12′
🟨 Bradley Danger
Noé Sow 🟨
14′
Mons Bassouamina 🟨
33′
36′
🔁 R. Boissier
↦ A. Abdennour
1–0 P. Bâ
J. Evans
45′
Half-time 1–0
E. Sylvestre 🔁
↦ S. DAlmeida
46′
50′
A. Pembélé 1–1
M. Senaya
60′
🔁 K. Corredor
↦ C. Dépres
61′
🔁 N. Ouammou
↦ W. Younoussa
67′
N. Ouammou 1–2
A. Abdallah
David Gomis 🔁
↦ N. Sow
72′
M. George 🔁
↦ M. Bassouamina
72′
75′
🔁 H. Far
↦ A. Pembélé
75′
🔁 A. Valério
↦ L. Rajot
Nguyễn Quang Hải 🔁
↦ P. Bâ
78′
J. Nišić 🔁
↦ S. Beusnard
82′
2–2 Nguyễn Quang Hải
X. Kouassi
86′
87′
🟨 Marvin Senaya
87′
🟨 Remy Boissier
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Pau FC

3-5-2
1 A. Olliero G
5 N. Sow D
4 X. Kouassi D
25 J. Ruiz D
7 E. Koffi M
6 S. D'Almeida M
21 S. Beusnard M
20 H. Saivet M
26 J. Evans M
29 P. Bâ F
11 M. Bassouamina F
Bench (7)
12 E. Sylvestre
8 David Gomis
9 M. George
19 Nguyễn Quang Hải
10 J. Nišić
16 M. Ndiaye
2 D. Abzi

Coach: D. Tholot

Rodez

3-5-2
16 L. M'Pasi G
22 L. Mouyokolo D
4 A. Abdennour D
2 É. Vandenabeele D
20 M. Senaya M
26 W. Younoussa M
14 B. Danger M
8 L. Rajot M
28 A. Abdallah M
24 A. Pembélé F
25 C. Dépres F
Bench (7)
6 R. Boissier
12 K. Corredor
7 N. Ouammou
27 H. Far
18 A. Valério
11 Joseph Mendes
1 S. Cibois

Coach: L. Peyrelade

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,47
U ✓
3,07
B
2,97
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,39
U2,5
1,56
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

W Toulliou · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
25,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.