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Ligue 2

Paris FC

T T U U U

2–3

Full-time

Ajaccio

T T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Ajaccio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+0,2

This season — Ligue 2 · 22/22 matches

Win Ø 34%

18%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

36%

32%

Both score Ø 34%

27%

41%

Average goals

2,2

2,0

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

9 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 5

3 Corners 0

16 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris FC 19. · Ajaccio 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	22	15	3	4	+21	48
2	Lens	22	12	7	3	+15	43
3	Ajaccio	22	11	6	5	+10	39
4	Troyes	22	12	2	8	+3	38
5	Le Havre	23	9	10	4	+11	37
6	Clermont	22	10	7	5	+5	37
7	Valenciennes	22	9	7	6	+4	34
8	Guingamp	22	8	7	7	+7	31
9	Nancy	22	6	13	3	+4	31
10	Grenoble	23	6	13	4	+1	31
11	Sochaux	22	7	7	8	+0	28
12	Auxerre	22	6	8	8	+1	26
13	Chateauroux	22	6	7	9	-11	25
14	Caen	22	5	9	8	-5	24
15	Chambly	22	6	6	10	-10	24
16	Rodez	22	6	5	11	-4	23
17	Le Mans	22	6	3	13	-11	21
18	Niort	22	4	7	11	-9	19
19	Paris FC	22	4	6	12	-18	18
20	Orleans	22	3	7	12	-14	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	11	8	1	2	+10	25
2	Lens	10	7	2	1	+11	23
3	Nancy	11	6	5	0	+9	23
4	Valenciennes	11	6	3	2	+6	21
5	Sochaux	12	5	4	3	+5	19
6	Le Havre	11	4	6	1	+8	18
7	Clermont	11	5	3	3	+4	18
8	Troyes	11	6	0	5	-1	18
9	Guingamp	12	4	5	3	+5	17
10	Auxerre	11	4	5	2	+5	17
11	Rodez	11	5	2	4	+4	17
12	Ajaccio	11	4	4	3	+3	16
13	Grenoble	11	2	8	1	+1	14
14	Le Mans	12	4	2	6	-2	14
15	Chambly	12	3	3	6	-9	12
16	Caen	11	2	5	4	-5	11
17	Niort	11	2	4	5	-3	10
18	Orleans	11	2	2	7	-9	8
19	Paris FC	10	2	2	6	-11	8
20	Chateauroux	10	1	4	5	-8	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lorient	11	7	2	2	+11	23
2	Ajaccio	11	7	2	2	+7	23
3	Lens	12	5	5	2	+4	20
4	Troyes	11	6	2	3	+4	20
5	Le Havre	12	5	4	3	+3	19
6	Clermont	11	5	4	2	+1	19
7	Chateauroux	12	5	3	4	-3	18
8	Grenoble	12	4	5	3	+0	17
9	Guingamp	10	4	2	4	+2	14
10	Caen	11	3	4	4	+0	13
11	Valenciennes	11	3	4	4	-2	13
12	Chambly	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	Paris FC	12	2	4	6	-7	10
14	Auxerre	11	2	3	6	-4	9
15	Sochaux	10	2	3	5	-5	9
16	Niort	11	2	3	6	-6	9
17	Orleans	11	1	5	5	-5	8
18	Nancy	11	0	8	3	-5	8
19	Le Mans	10	2	1	7	-9	7
20	Rodez	11	1	3	7	-8	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.