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Ligue 2
Valenciennes
U U T S T
0–0
Full-time
Ajaccio
T S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valenciennes Ajaccio
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
2,8
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,8
This season — Ligue 2 · 26/26 matches
Win Ø 46%
38%
54%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 27%
15%
38%
Both score Ø 35%
27%
42%
Average goals
1,5
2,3
Scored
0,8
1,4
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

14 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 6
10 Corners 5
15 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Valenciennes 8. · Ajaccio 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lorient 26 17 3 6 +22 54
2 Ajaccio 26 14 6 6 +15 48
3 Lens 26 13 8 5 +12 47
4 Troyes 26 15 2 9 +7 47
5 Clermont 26 12 8 6 +7 44
6 Guingamp 26 10 9 7 +9 39
7 Le Havre 26 9 11 6 +9 38
8 Valenciennes 26 10 8 8 +2 38
9 Grenoble 26 7 14 5 +2 35
10 Nancy 26 6 15 5 +2 33
11 Sochaux 26 8 9 9 +0 33
12 Auxerre 26 7 10 9 +0 31
13 Caen 26 7 10 9 -2 31
14 Chambly 26 8 7 11 -7 31
15 Chateauroux 26 8 7 11 -14 31
16 Rodez 26 7 7 12 -4 28
17 Paris FC 26 7 6 13 -16 27
18 Niort 26 6 7 13 -9 25
19 Le Mans 26 6 4 16 -16 22
20 Orleans 26 4 7 15 -19 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,13
U ✓
2,88
B
2,48
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,42
U2,5 ✓
1,54
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.