Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Ajaccio
Rodez
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Lorient
|
12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 24 |
| 2 |
Lens
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 22 |
| 3 |
Ajaccio
|
12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | +6 | 22 |
| 4 |
Troyes
|
12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | +5 | 22 |
| 5 |
Sochaux
|
12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | +7 | 19 |
| 6 |
Le Havre
|
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +5 | 18 |
| 7 |
Rodez
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +2 | 18 |
| 8 |
Grenoble
|
12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +2 | 18 |
| 9 |
Clermont
|
12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | +0 | 18 |
| 10 |
Nancy
|
12 | 3 | 8 | 1 | +2 | 17 |
| 11 |
Valenciennes
|
12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | -1 | 17 |
| 12 |
Auxerre
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +4 | 16 |
| 13 |
Guingamp
|
12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | +2 | 16 |
| 14 |
Niort
|
12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | +0 | 14 |
| 15 | Chambly | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | -5 | 13 |
| 16 |
Caen
|
12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 17 |
Orleans
|
12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -6 | 9 |
| 18 |
Le Mans
|
12 | 3 | 0 | 9 | -11 | 9 |
| 19 |
Chateauroux
|
12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 |
Paris FC
|
12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | -12 | 8 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sochaux
Ajaccio
Ajaccio
Nancy
Lorient
Ajaccio
Ajaccio
Valenciennes
Le Mans
Ajaccio
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.