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2. Bundesliga
Referee: S Stegemann
Hannover
S S T S S
0–3
Full-time
Hertha
T U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hannover Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,2
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,2
Scored
1,5
0,3
Conceded
0,7
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,5
1,3
Scored
2,0
0,3
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

66% Possession 34%
21 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
12 Blocked shots 1
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
15 Corners 0
13 Free kicks against 19
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hannover 1. · Hertha 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Hannover 4 4 0 0 +6 +2.5 12
2 Karlsruhe 5 3 2 0 +4 +0.3 11
3 Bielefeld 5 3 1 1 +7 +1.7 10
4 Darmstadt 5 3 1 1 +3 +0.9 10
5 Elversberg 4 3 0 1 +2 -2.9 9
6 Schalke 04 5 3 0 2 +1 +0.8 9
7 Paderborn 5 2 2 1 +1 +2.8 8
8 Preußen Münster 4 2 1 1 +1 -2.5 7
9 Braunschweig 5 2 1 2 -1 -1.1 7
10 Kaiserslautern 4 2 0 2 +1 -0.2 6
11 Greuther Furth 4 2 0 2 -1 -0.2 6
12 Holstein Kiel 5 2 0 3 -1 +0.1 6
13 Fortuna Dusseldorf 4 1 1 2 -5 -3.5 4
14 Dresden 4 1 0 3 -2 +1.8 3
15 Bochum 5 1 0 4 -4 +1.8 3
16 Magdeburg 5 1 0 4 -5 -0.5 3
17 Hertha 4 0 2 2 -3 -1.9 2
18 Nurnberg 5 0 1 4 -4 +0.1 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hannover Hertha
34′
🟨 Marten Winkler
Half-time 0–0
H. Chakroun 🔁
↦ J. Rochelt
46′
51′
M. Winkler 0–1
D. Kownacki
54′
🟨 Julian Eitschberger
Noël Aséko 🟨
56′
K. Oudenne 🔁
↦ H. Matsuda
62′
D. Yokota 🔁
↦ M. Bundu
62′
B. Kallman 🔁
↦ B. Pichler
62′
Boris Tomiak 🟨
66′
68′
D. Kownacki 0–2
F. Reese
W. Taibi 🔁
↦ N. Aseko-Nkili
69′
72′
🔁 K. Sessa
↦ L. Jensen
72′
🔁 S. Gronning
↦ D. Kownacki
82′
🟨 Kennet Eichhorn
84′
🟨 Toni Leistner
87′
🔁 M. Krattenmacher
↦ F. Reese
87′
🔁 L. Schuler
↦ M. Winkler
88′
🟨 Kevin Sessa
89′
🔁 B. Mamuzah Lum
↦ K. Eichhorn
90′
L. Schuler 0–3
M. Cuisance
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Hannover

3-3-1-3
1 N. Noll G
20 I. Okon D
3 B. Tomiak D
5 V. Ghita D
27 H. Matsuda M
8 E. Leopold M
33 M. Neubauer M
15 N. Aseko-Nkili M
7 M. Bundu F
11 B. Pichler F
10 J. Rochelt F
Bench (9)
30 L. Weinkauf
6 M. Nawrocki
4 H. Blank
29 K. Oudenne
26 W. Taibi
14 H. Chakroun
13 F. Roggow
18 D. Yokota
9 B. Kallman

Coach: Christian Titz

Hertha

4-2-3-1
1 T. Ernst G
2 J. Eitschberger D
37 T. Leistner D
31 M. Dardai D
42 D. Zeefuik D
5 L. Jensen M
23 K. Eichhorn M
22 M. Winkler M
10 M. Cuisance M
11 F. Reese M
9 D. Kownacki F
Bench (9)
13 K. Heide
3 A. Rogel
34 J. Berner
8 K. Sessa
14 M. Krattenmacher
21 B. Mamuzah Lum
17 S. Gronning
18 L. Schuler
24 J. Thorsteinsson

Coach: Stefan Leitl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,84
U
3,69
B ✓
3,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,11
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

S Stegemann · 140 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.