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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Burda

Ulm

T T T U U

0–1

Full-time

FC Koln

T S T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ulm FC Koln

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 32%

13%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

42%

54%

Both score Ø 54%

58%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

45% Possession 55%

15 Shots 13

1 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 7

3 Offside 1

9 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ulm 17. · FC Koln 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kaiserslautern	25	12	7	6	+8	43
2	Hamburg	24	11	9	4	+20	42
3	Magdeburg	24	11	8	5	+15	41
4	Paderborn	24	11	8	5	+10	41
5	FC Koln	24	12	5	7	+7	41
6	Elversberg	25	11	7	7	+14	40
7	Fortuna Dusseldorf	24	10	8	6	+7	38
8	Hannover	24	10	8	6	+7	38
9	Karlsruhe	25	10	6	9	-2	36
10	Nurnberg	24	10	5	9	+3	35
11	Greuther Furth	24	9	5	10	-8	32
12	Darmstadt	25	8	7	10	+3	31
13	Schalke 04	24	8	6	10	-3	30
14	Hertha	24	7	5	12	-8	26
15	Preußen Münster	24	5	8	11	-7	23
16	Braunschweig	24	5	7	12	-21	22
17	Ulm	24	3	10	11	-6	19
18	Regensburg	24	4	3	17	-39	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	12	7	4	1	+9	25
2	Hamburg	12	6	6	0	+19	24
3	Kaiserslautern	13	6	5	2	+9	23
4	Elversberg	13	7	2	4	+6	23
5	Nurnberg	12	7	2	3	+6	23
6	FC Koln	12	6	3	3	+9	21
7	Paderborn	12	6	2	4	+6	20
8	Karlsruhe	12	6	2	4	+2	20
9	Darmstadt	13	5	4	4	+8	19
10	Schalke 04	12	5	2	5	-1	17
11	Greuther Furth	12	5	2	5	-4	17
12	Braunschweig	12	4	4	4	+0	16
13	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	4	4	5	-2	16
14	Regensburg	12	4	2	6	-8	14
15	Magdeburg	12	2	7	3	+0	13
16	Preußen Münster	12	3	4	5	-1	13
17	Ulm	11	2	4	5	+0	10
18	Hertha	11	2	2	7	-6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Magdeburg	12	9	1	2	+15	28
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	11	6	4	1	+9	22
3	Paderborn	12	5	6	1	+4	21
4	Kaiserslautern	12	6	2	4	-1	20
5	FC Koln	12	6	2	4	-2	20
6	Hamburg	12	5	3	4	+1	18
7	Hertha	13	5	3	5	-2	18
8	Elversberg	12	4	5	3	+8	17
9	Karlsruhe	13	4	4	5	-4	16
10	Greuther Furth	12	4	3	5	-4	15
11	Schalke 04	12	3	4	5	-2	13
12	Hannover	12	3	4	5	-2	13
13	Nurnberg	12	3	3	6	-3	12
14	Darmstadt	12	3	3	6	-5	12
15	Preußen Münster	12	2	4	6	-6	10
16	Ulm	13	1	6	6	-6	9
17	Braunschweig	12	1	3	8	-21	6
18	Regensburg	12	0	1	11	-31	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.