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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Welz
FC Koln
S T S S T
1–0
Full-time
Schalke 04
U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Schalke 04
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,5
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,7
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 43%
55%
30%
Points per game
1,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
60%
70%
Both score Ø 63%
55%
70%
Average goals
3,0
3,8
Scored
1,8
1,9
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%
12 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 2
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 6
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 3. · Schalke 04 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 21 10 8 3 +19 38
2 Kaiserslautern 21 11 5 5 +8 38
3 FC Koln 20 11 4 5 +10 37
4 Magdeburg 21 9 8 4 +11 35
5 Paderborn 21 9 7 5 +6 34
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 20 9 6 5 +7 33
7 Elversberg 21 9 5 7 +8 32
8 Hannover 20 9 5 6 +6 32
9 Nurnberg 21 9 4 8 +2 31
10 Karlsruhe 20 8 6 6 +1 30
11 Greuther Furth 21 7 5 9 -10 26
12 Darmstadt 21 6 7 8 +2 25
13 Hertha 21 7 4 10 -3 25
14 Schalke 04 20 6 6 8 -2 24
15 Preußen Münster 21 4 8 9 -6 20
16 Ulm 21 3 8 10 -4 17
17 Braunschweig 20 3 6 11 -21 15
18 Regensburg 21 4 2 15 -34 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Schalke 04
Joel Schmied 🟨
34′
Mathias Olesen 🟨
39′
1–0 D. Downs
L. Maina
43′
Half-time 1–0
N. Telle 🔁
↦ E. Martel
46′
F. Kainz 🔁
↦ D. Ljubičić
57′
M. Finkgräfe 🔁
↦ M. Olesen
57′
62′
🔁 A. Barkok
↦ J. Bachmann
62′
🔁 A. Gantenbein
↦ M. Aydın
62′
🔁 I. Hamache
↦ P. Meïssa Ba
Damion Downs 🟨
72′
J. Thielmann 🔁
↦ D. Huseinbašić
73′
I. Rondić 🔁
↦ D. Downs
81′
81′
🔁 C. Antwi-Adjei
↦ T. Mohr
81′
🔁 A. Younes
↦ M. Grüger
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

FC Koln

3-4-1-2
1 M. Schwäbe G
2 J. Schmied D
6 E. Martel D
3 D. Heintz D
25 J. Gazibegović M
47 M. Olesen M
8 D. Huseinbašić M
17 L. Paqarada M
7 D. Ljubičić F
42 D. Downs F
37 L. Maina F
Bench (9)
49 N. Telle
11 F. Kainz
35 M. Finkgräfe
29 J. Thielmann
27 I. Rondić
46 E. Kujović
21 S. Tigges
9 L. Waldschmidt
26 A. Racioppi

Coach: G. Struber

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
28 J. Heekeren G
23 M. Aydın D
26 T. Kalas D
35 M. Kamiński D
5 D. Murkin D
6 R. Schallenberg M
37 M. Grüger M
10 P. Meïssa Ba M
14 J. Bachmann M
29 T. Mohr M
19 K. Karaman F
Bench (9)
25 A. Barkok
17 A. Gantenbein
24 I. Hamache
18 C. Antwi-Adjei
8 A. Younes
2 F. Sánchez
30 A. Donkor
34 M. Langer
27 L. Karius

Coach: K. van Wonderen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,74
U
3,94
B
4,13
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,58
U2,5 ✓
2,34
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Welz · 64 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.