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2. Bundesliga
Referee: L Benen
Magdeburg
U U S T S
1–1
Full-time
Paderborn
U U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Magdeburg Paderborn
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,0
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,0
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 44%
40%
47%
Points per game
1,6
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 77%
80%
73%
Both score Ø 70%
67%
73%
Average goals
3,0
3,2
Scored
1,6
1,8
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%
13 Shots 13
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 7
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Magdeburg 9. · Paderborn 1. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paderborn 15 7 6 2 +6 27
2 Kaiserslautern 15 7 5 3 +8 26
3 Hannover 15 8 2 5 +6 26
4 Karlsruhe 16 7 5 4 +2 26
5 Elversberg 15 7 4 4 +9 25
6 Fortuna Dusseldorf 15 7 4 4 +8 25
7 FC Koln 15 7 4 4 +6 25
8 Hamburg 15 6 6 3 +11 24
9 Magdeburg 15 6 6 3 +3 24
10 Darmstadt 15 5 6 4 +4 21
11 Hertha 16 6 3 7 +0 21
12 Nurnberg 15 5 4 6 +2 19
13 Greuther Furth 15 4 5 6 -5 17
14 Schalke 04 15 4 4 7 -4 16
15 Preußen Münster 16 3 6 7 -5 15
16 Braunschweig 15 3 4 8 -16 13
17 Ulm 15 2 6 7 -4 12
18 Regensburg 16 2 2 12 -31 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

3. Mar -24 Paderborn – Magdeburg 0–0 22. Sep -23 Magdeburg – Paderborn 1–1 11. Mar -23 Magdeburg – Paderborn 0–0 3. Sep -22 Paderborn – Magdeburg 1–0

Match report

Magdeburg Paderborn
C. Krempicki 🔁
↦ S. Loric
5′
23′
🟨 Laurin Curda
Jean Hugonet 🟨
26′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 F. Platte
↦ L. Curda
46′
🔁 A. Zehnter
↦ M. Hoffmeier
1–0 P. Hercher ⚽
57′
Barış Atik 🟨
67′
Dominik Reimann 🟨
68′
69′
🔁 L. Engelns
↦ S. Castañeda
69′
⚽ R. Obermair 1–1
Connor Krempicki 🟨
73′
79′
🔁 L. Herrmann
↦ K. Kostons
A. Nollenberger 🔁
↦ L. Burcu
80′
Bryan Teixeira 🔁
↦ B. Atik
80′
86′
🔁 J. Brandt
↦ I. Ansah
Philipp Hercher 🟨
93′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Magdeburg

3-3-1-3
1 D. Reimann G
24 J. Hugonet D
16 M. Mathisen D
15 D. Heber D
27 P. Hercher M
25 S. Gnaka M
2 S. Loric M
11 M. El Hankouri M
23 B. Atik F
9 M. Kaars F
29 L. Burcu F
Bench (9)
13 C. Krempicki
17 A. Nollenberger
8 Bryan Teixeira
14 A. El-Zein
21 F. Michel
40 R. Kampa
22 P. Nadjombe
5 T. Müller
20 X. Amaechi

Coach: C. Titz

Paderborn

4-1-4-1
1 P. Boevink G
17 L. Curda D
25 T. Scheller D
4 C. Brackelmann D
33 M. Hoffmeier D
20 F. Götze M
23 R. Obermair M
7 F. Bilbija M
5 S. Castañeda M
29 I. Ansah M
10 K. Kostons F
Bench (9)
36 F. Platte
32 A. Zehnter
46 L. Engelns
19 L. Herrmann
37 J. Brandt
43 M. Ens
30 M. Schubert
9 M. Baur
8 D. Kinsombi

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,78
🔒
U ✓
3,56
🔒
B
2,38
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,62
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,26
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Benen · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,40 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.