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DFB-Pokal

Referee: M Jöllenbeck

Preußen Münster

0–4

Full-time

Bayern Munich

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

28% Possession 72%

11 Shots 26

3 Shots on target 9

4 Blocked shots 10

5 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 11

1 Offside 3

6 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+7	3
7	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	FC 08 Homburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
16	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
21	SpVgg Unterhaching	1	1	0	0	+2	3
22	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
25	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
26	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
27	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
28	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Hansa Rostock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
35	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
41	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
42	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
43	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
44	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
47	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0
48	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
49	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
50	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
51	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
52	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
53	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
54	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
55	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
56	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
57	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
58	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
59	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
60	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	FC 08 Homburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	SpVgg Unterhaching	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	FC Viktoria Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	FC Saarbrücken	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Sandhausen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	FSV Frankfurt	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Regensburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Elversberg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Illertissen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Oberachern	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	FC Gutersloh	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	VfB Lubeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
18	Balingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	FC Astoria Walldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
21	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-5	0
22	Atlas Delmenhorst	1	0	0	1	-5	0
23	TuS RW Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
24	Makkabi	1	0	0	1	-6	0
25	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-7	0
26	Bersenbrück	1	0	0	1	-7	0
27	Lokomotive Leipzig	1	0	0	1	-7	0
28	Oberneuland	1	0	0	1	-8	0
29	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
30	Rostocker FC	1	0	0	1	-8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nurnberg	1	1	0	0	+8	3
2	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+8	3
3	Heidenheim	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+7	3
5	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+7	3
6	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+7	3
7	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+6	3
8	Dortmund	1	1	0	0	+5	3
9	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+5	3
10	St Pauli	1	1	0	0	+5	3
11	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+5	3
12	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
13	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+4	3
14	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+3	3
15	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Schalke 04	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Hamburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Greuther Furth	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Hannover	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Bochum	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Hansa Rostock	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Werder Bremen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Karlsruhe	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Augsburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Darmstadt	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Preußen Münster Bayern Munich

9′

⚽ E. Choupo-Moting 0–1

11′

🔁 F. Krätzig

↦ S. Gnabry

40′

⚽ K. Laimer 0–2

L. Goretzka

Half-time 0–2

S. Scherder 🔁

↦ A. Hahn

46′

J. Grodowski 🔁

↦ M. Batmaz

46′

Daniel Kyerewaa 🟨

48′

50′

⚽ F. Krätzig 0–3

J. Kimmich

R. Preißinger 🔁

↦ S. Mrowca

58′

62′

🔁 Raphaël Guerreiro

↦ A. Davies

63′

🔁 B. Sarr

↦ K. Laimer

63′

🔁 T. Fukui

↦ J. Kimmich

G. Wegkamp 🔁

↦ M. Lorenz

75′

83′

🔁 L. Sané

↦ E. Choupo-Moting

86′

⚽ M. Tel 0–4

B. Sarr

Y. Bouchama 🔁

↦ D. Kyerewaa

87′

Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Preußen Münster

5-4-1

J. Schenk G

J. ter Horst D

24 N. Koulis D

6 T. Kok D

42 A. Hahn D

B. Böckle D

7 D. Kyerewaa M

32 L. Bazzoli M

26 S. Mrowca M

18 M. Lorenz M

23 M. Batmaz F

Bench (9)

15 S. Scherder

9 J. Grodowski

21 R. Preißinger

25 G. Wegkamp

5 Y. Bouchama

31 R. Schabbing

8 D. Ghindovean

11 T. Deters

14 A. Wooten

Coach: S. Hildmann

Bayern Munich

4-1-4-1

Daniel Peretz G

K. Laimer D

N. Mazraoui D

8 L. Goretzka D

A. Davies D

J. Kimmich M

11 K. Coman M

J. Musiala M

S. Gnabry M

M. Tel M

13 E. Choupo-Moting F

Bench (8)

41 F. Krätzig

22 Raphaël Guerreiro

20 B. Sarr

46 T. Fukui

10 L. Sané

16 L. Denk

48 M. Schmitt

9 H. Kane

Coach: T. Tuchel

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

–

🔒

B ✓

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja

–

🔒

BLS nei ✓

–

🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

M Jöllenbeck · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards

3,7 / match

Below average

⚽ Free kicks

23,0 / match

Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Preußen Münster

Bayern Munich

Odds comparison

Recent matches

Referee