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2. Bundesliga
Referee: T Gerach
Hamburg
S S T S S
1–1
Full-time
Hertha
U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hamburg Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
33%
100%
Average goals
2,5
3,8
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-0,5
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 50%
100%
0%
Points per game
3,0
0,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,0
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

41% Possession 59%
13 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
9 Corners 11
1 Offside 0
9 Free kicks against 8
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hamburg 9. · Hertha 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Greuther Furth 2 1 1 0 +2 4
2 Fortuna Dusseldorf 2 1 1 0 +2 4
3 Kaiserslautern 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Karlsruhe 2 1 1 0 +1 4
5 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +2 3
6 Hannover 1 1 0 0 +2 3
7 Nurnberg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
8 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
9 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
10 Regensburg 2 1 0 1 -1 3
11 Elversberg 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Magdeburg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 FC Koln 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Hertha 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -2 0
16 Ulm 2 0 0 2 -2 0
17 Darmstadt 1 0 0 1 -2 0
18 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hamburg Hertha
1–0 R. Königsdörffer
B. Jatta
11′
35′
🟨 Jeremy Dudziak
Daniel Elfadli 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 D. Zeefuik
↦ J. Dudziak
Sebastian Schonlau 🟨
61′
64′
🔁 T. Leistner
↦ L. Gechter
S. Hefti 🔁
↦ B. Jatta
67′
I. Pherai 🔁
↦ L. Reis
67′
D. Selke 🔁
↦ J. Dompé
70′
76′
🔁 M. Dárdai
↦ M. Karbownik
76′
🔁 L. Schuler
↦ D. Scherhant
Guilherme Ramos 🔁
↦ Daniel Elfadli
83′
Fábio Baldé 🔁
↦ A. Karabec
83′
84′
🟨 Deyovaisio Zeefuik
86′
J. Kenny 1–1
92′
🔁 G. Christensen
↦ M. Winkler
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
18 B. Jatta D
5 D. Hadžikadunić D
4 S. Schonlau D
28 M. Muheim D
8 Daniel Elfadli M
23 J. Meffert M
14 L. Reis M
17 A. Karabec F
11 R. Königsdörffer F
7 J. Dompé F
Bench (9)
30 S. Hefti
10 I. Pherai
27 D. Selke
13 Guilherme Ramos
45 Fábio Baldé
21 L. Öztunalı
3 M. Heyer
12 T. Mickel
33 N. Katterbach

Coach: S. Baumgart

Hertha

4-3-3
1 T. Ernst G
16 J. Kenny D
44 L. Gechter D
4 M. Kempf D
19 J. Dudziak D
33 M. Karbownik M
6 D. Demme M
10 I. Maza M
22 M. Winkler F
25 H. Tabaković F
39 D. Scherhant F
Bench (9)
42 D. Zeefuik
37 T. Leistner
31 M. Dárdai
18 L. Schuler
26 G. Christensen
35 M. Gersbeck
9 S. Prevljak
38 J. Gottschalk
41 P. Klemens

Coach: C. Fiél

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,83
U ✓
4,14
B
3,69
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,39
U2,5 ✓
2,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

T Gerach · 55 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.