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2. Bundesliga
Referee: M Burda
FC Koln
T U U S T
1–2
Full-time
Hamburg
T S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

60% Possession 40%
26 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 6
11 Blocked shots 3
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 3
1 Offside 4
18 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

20. Jan -18 Hamburg – FC Koln 0–2 25. Aug -17 FC Koln – Hamburg 1–3 1. Apr -17 Hamburg – FC Koln 2–1 30. Oct -16 FC Koln – Hamburg 3–0 7. Feb -16 Hamburg – FC Koln 1–1

Match report

FC Koln Hamburg
5′
⚽ R. Königsdörffer 0–1
35′
⚽ R. Königsdörffer 0–2
Tim Lemperle 🟨
39′
Half-time 0–2
48′
🟨 Miro Muheim
L. Maina 🔁
↦ L. Waldschmidt
57′
S. Adamyan 🔁
↦ D. Downs
57′
65′
🔁 Fábio Baldé
↦ J. Dompé
66′
🔁 L. Öztunalı
↦ A. Karabec
Julian Pauli 🟨
69′
F. Dietz 🔁
↦ T. Lemperle
76′
1–2 L. Maina ⚽
D. Ljubičić
78′
83′
🔁 M. Heyer
↦ L. Reis
86′
🟨 Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer
D. Heintz 🔁
↦ J. Pauli
87′
M. Obuz 🔁
↦ D. Huseinbašić
87′
91′
🔁 W. Mikelbrencis
↦ B. Jatta
91′
🔁 D. Selke
↦ R. Königsdörffer
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

FC Koln

4-3-1-2
40 J. Urbig G
29 J. Thielmann D
4 T. Hübers D
24 J. Pauli D
17 L. Paqarada D
7 D. Ljubičić M
6 E. Martel M
8 D. Huseinbašić M
9 L. Waldschmidt M
19 T. Lemperle F
42 D. Downs F
Bench (9)
37 L. Maina
23 S. Adamyan
33 F. Dietz
3 D. Heintz
16 M. Obuz
47 M. Olesen
36 M. Wäschenbach
20 P. Pentke
18 R. Carstensen

Coach: G. Struber

Hamburg

5-4-1
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
18 B. Jatta D
5 D. Hadžikadunić D
23 J. Meffert D
4 S. Schonlau D
28 M. Muheim D
17 A. Karabec M
8 Daniel Elfadli M
14 L. Reis M
7 J. Dompé M
11 R. Königsdörffer F
Bench (9)
45 Fábio Baldé
21 L. Öztunalı
3 M. Heyer
2 W. Mikelbrencis
27 D. Selke
13 Guilherme Ramos
10 I. Pherai
33 N. Katterbach
12 T. Mickel

Coach: S. Baumgart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,36
🔒
U
3,62
🔒
B ✓
2,80
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,57
🔒
U2,5
2,37
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Burda · 52 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,04 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.