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2. Bundesliga

Referee: M Petersen

Paderborn

S U U T T

2–3

Full-time

Hertha

U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Hertha

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,2

4,3

Scored

1,2

2,3

Conceded

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 39%

41%

37%

Points per game

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

78%

Both score Ø 70%

70%

Average goals

3,2

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,0

Conceded

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

47% Possession 53%

19 Shots 10

8 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

9 Corners 3

1 Offside 2

4 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 8. · Hertha 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	27	16	9	2	+24	57
2	Holstein Kiel	27	16	4	7	+17	52
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	27	13	7	7	+24	46
4	Hamburg	27	13	6	8	+13	45
5	Hannover	27	11	10	6	+15	43
6	Karlsruhe	27	10	9	8	+14	39
7	Greuther Furth	27	11	6	10	-1	39
8	Paderborn	27	11	6	10	-4	39
9	Hertha	27	10	8	9	+7	38
10	Nurnberg	27	10	7	10	-10	37
11	Elversberg	27	10	5	12	-9	35
12	Wehen	27	8	7	12	-5	31
13	Magdeburg	27	8	7	12	-6	31
14	Schalke 04	27	9	4	14	-12	31
15	Braunschweig	27	9	3	15	-9	30
16	Kaiserslautern	27	8	5	14	-11	29
17	Hansa Rostock	27	8	4	15	-19	28
18	Osnabruck	27	4	9	14	-28	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	14	9	5	0	+18	32
2	Hamburg	13	9	0	4	+13	27
3	Greuther Furth	14	8	3	3	+10	27
4	Karlsruhe	14	7	5	2	+16	26
5	Hannover	13	7	5	1	+16	26
6	Holstein Kiel	14	8	1	5	+5	25
7	Schalke 04	14	7	3	4	+7	24
8	Hertha	14	6	5	3	+15	23
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	3	4	+5	21
10	Magdeburg	14	6	3	5	+4	21
11	Braunschweig	14	6	3	5	+3	21
12	Nurnberg	13	5	4	4	-2	19
13	Kaiserslautern	14	6	1	7	-3	19
14	Paderborn	13	5	3	5	-1	18
15	Wehen	13	4	5	4	-1	17
16	Elversberg	13	5	2	6	-4	17
17	Hansa Rostock	13	5	2	6	-5	17
18	Osnabruck	13	2	5	6	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	13	8	3	2	+12	27
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	7	4	3	+19	25
3	St Pauli	13	7	4	2	+6	25
4	Paderborn	14	6	3	5	-3	21
5	Hamburg	14	4	6	4	+0	18
6	Elversberg	14	5	3	6	-5	18
7	Nurnberg	14	5	3	6	-8	18
8	Hannover	14	4	5	5	-1	17
9	Hertha	13	4	3	6	-8	15
10	Wehen	14	4	2	8	-4	14
11	Karlsruhe	13	3	4	6	-2	13
12	Greuther Furth	13	3	3	7	-11	12
13	Hansa Rostock	14	3	2	9	-14	11
14	Kaiserslautern	13	2	4	7	-8	10
15	Magdeburg	13	2	4	7	-10	10
16	Osnabruck	14	2	4	8	-19	10
17	Braunschweig	13	3	0	10	-12	9
18	Schalke 04	13	2	1	10	-19	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.