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2. Bundesliga

Referee: B Brand

St Pauli

S S T S S

2–1

Full-time

Paderborn

T S U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Pauli Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 50%

58%

42%

Points per game

2,1

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 64%

50%

77%

Both score Ø 66%

62%

69%

Average goals

2,8

3,2

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%

12 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 5

3 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

1 Corners 3

7 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 15

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match St Pauli 1. · Paderborn 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	26	15	9	2	+23	54
2	Holstein Kiel	27	16	4	7	+17	52
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	27	13	7	7	+24	46
4	Hamburg	26	13	5	8	+13	44
5	Hannover	26	10	10	6	+12	40
6	Paderborn	26	11	6	9	-3	39
7	Karlsruhe	26	10	8	8	+14	38
8	Hertha	27	10	8	9	+7	38
9	Greuther Furth	26	11	5	10	-1	38
10	Nurnberg	27	10	7	10	-10	37
11	Elversberg	27	10	5	12	-9	35
12	Magdeburg	26	8	7	11	-3	31
13	Wehen	26	8	7	11	-4	31
14	Braunschweig	27	9	3	15	-9	30
15	Schalke 04	26	9	3	14	-12	30
16	Kaiserslautern	27	8	5	14	-11	29
17	Hansa Rostock	27	8	4	15	-19	28
18	Osnabruck	26	3	9	14	-29	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	13	8	5	0	+17	29
2	Hamburg	13	9	0	4	+13	27
3	Karlsruhe	14	7	5	2	+16	26
4	Hannover	13	7	5	1	+16	26
5	Greuther Furth	13	8	2	3	+10	26
6	Holstein Kiel	14	8	1	5	+5	25
7	Hertha	14	6	5	3	+15	23
8	Schalke 04	13	7	2	4	+7	23
9	Magdeburg	13	6	3	4	+7	21
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	6	3	4	+5	21
11	Braunschweig	14	6	3	5	+3	21
12	Nurnberg	13	5	4	4	-2	19
13	Kaiserslautern	14	6	1	7	-3	19
14	Paderborn	13	5	3	5	-1	18
15	Wehen	12	4	5	3	+0	17
16	Elversberg	13	5	2	6	-4	17
17	Hansa Rostock	13	5	2	6	-5	17
18	Osnabruck	13	2	5	6	-9	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	13	8	3	2	+12	27
2	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	7	4	3	+19	25
3	St Pauli	13	7	4	2	+6	25
4	Paderborn	13	6	3	4	-2	21
5	Elversberg	14	5	3	6	-5	18
6	Nurnberg	14	5	3	6	-8	18
7	Hamburg	13	4	5	4	+0	17
8	Hertha	13	4	3	6	-8	15
9	Hannover	13	3	5	5	-4	14
10	Wehen	14	4	2	8	-4	14
11	Karlsruhe	12	3	3	6	-2	12
12	Greuther Furth	13	3	3	7	-11	12
13	Hansa Rostock	14	3	2	9	-14	11
14	Kaiserslautern	13	2	4	7	-8	10
15	Magdeburg	13	2	4	7	-10	10
16	Braunschweig	13	3	0	10	-12	9
17	Schalke 04	13	2	1	10	-19	7
18	Osnabruck	13	1	4	8	-20	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.