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2. Bundesliga
Referee: D Siebert
Paderborn
S T S U U
1–2
Full-time
Braunschweig
S T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Braunschweig
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,8
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
83%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,8
1,7
Scored
1,8
0,7
Conceded
2,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 36%
44%
28%
Points per game
1,6
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
76%
48%
Both score Ø 58%
68%
48%
Average goals
3,2
2,4
Scored
1,6
0,9
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
21 Shots 11
6 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
10 Corners 1
1 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paderborn 6. · Braunschweig 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 25 14 9 2 +21 51
2 Holstein Kiel 25 14 4 7 +13 46
3 Hamburg 25 12 5 8 +10 41
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 25 11 7 7 +18 40
5 Hannover 25 10 9 6 +12 39
6 Paderborn 25 11 6 8 -2 39
7 Greuther Furth 25 11 5 9 +0 38
8 Nurnberg 25 10 6 9 -8 36
9 Karlsruhe 25 9 8 8 +7 35
10 Elversberg 25 10 5 10 -2 35
11 Hertha 25 9 7 9 +4 34
12 Magdeburg 25 8 7 10 +4 31
13 Wehen 25 8 7 10 -1 31
14 Schalke 04 25 9 3 13 -9 30
15 Kaiserslautern 25 8 4 13 -9 28
16 Hansa Rostock 25 7 4 14 -18 25
17 Braunschweig 25 7 3 15 -15 24
18 Osnabruck 25 3 9 13 -25 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paderborn Braunschweig
Half-time 0–0
Kai Klefisch 🟨
54′
57′
ℹ️ Hassan Kurucay
VAR: Penalty confirmed
58′
🟨 Robert Ivanov
A. Grimaldi 🔁
↦ K. Klefisch
59′
59′
H. Kuruçay 0–1
1–1 A. Grimaldi
61′
68′
🔁 F. Krüger
↦ J. Gómez
I. Ansah 🔁
↦ K. Kostons
78′
R. Leipertz 🔁
↦ A. Zehnter
78′
80′
R. Philippe 1–2
A. Donkor
84′
🔁 A. Ujah
↦ R. Philippe
84′
🔁 N. Tauer
↦ F. Kaufmann
S. Conteh 🔁
↦ C. Brackelmann
86′
90′
🔁 S. Griesbeck
↦ R. Krauße
90′
🔁 J. Nikolaou
↦ Þ. Helgason
94′
🟨 Jannis Nikolaou
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Paderborn

3-4-3
1 P. Boevink G
33 M. Hoffmeier D
16 V. Musliu D
4 C. Brackelmann D
23 R. Obermair M
8 D. Kinsombi M
27 K. Klefisch M
32 A. Zehnter M
10 K. Kostons F
7 F. Bilbija F
26 S. Klaas F
Bench (9)
39 A. Grimaldi
29 I. Ansah
13 R. Leipertz
11 S. Conteh
24 J. Heuer
45 M. Pledl
21 J. Huth
22 M. Hansen
17 L. Curda

Coach: L. Kwasniok

Braunschweig

3-5-2
1 R. Hoffmann G
5 R. Ivanov D
6 E. Bičakčić D
29 H. Kuruçay D
18 M. Rittmüller M
37 F. Kaufmann M
39 R. Krauße M
20 Þ. Helgason M
19 A. Donkor M
9 R. Philippe F
44 J. Gómez F
Bench (9)
10 F. Krüger
14 A. Ujah
8 N. Tauer
33 S. Griesbeck
4 J. Nikolaou
12 H. Finndell
17 Youssef Amyn
13 T. Casali
15 Anderson Lucoqui

Coach: D. Scherning

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,87
U
3,71
B ✓
3,90
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,05
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Siebert · 158 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.