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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Zwayer
Hansa Rostock
T T S T U
2–2
Full-time
Hamburg
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hansa Rostock Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,3
4,0
Scored
0,5
2,2
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 41%
29%
52%
Points per game
1,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 62%
62%
62%
Both score Ø 57%
52%
62%
Average goals
2,6
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

40% Possession 60%
10 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 5
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
1 Corners 1
3 Offside 1
20 Free kicks against 13
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hansa Rostock 17. · Hamburg 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 21 11 9 1 +19 42
2 Holstein Kiel 21 12 3 6 +9 39
3 Hannover 22 10 7 5 +13 37
4 Hamburg 21 11 4 6 +12 37
5 Greuther Furth 22 10 5 7 +6 35
6 Paderborn 21 10 4 7 +1 34
7 Fortuna Dusseldorf 21 9 5 7 +14 32
8 Hertha 22 9 5 8 +6 32
9 Elversberg 21 8 5 8 -3 29
10 Nurnberg 21 8 5 8 -9 29
11 Karlsruhe 21 7 7 7 +0 28
12 Magdeburg 22 7 6 9 +2 27
13 Wehen 21 7 6 8 -2 27
14 Schalke 04 21 7 2 12 -9 23
15 Braunschweig 21 7 2 12 -12 23
16 Kaiserslautern 21 6 3 12 -9 21
17 Hansa Rostock 21 6 3 12 -14 21
18 Osnabruck 21 1 9 11 -24 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hansa Rostock Hamburg
28′
🟨 Stephan Ambrosius
34′
J. Dompé 0–1
43′
🟨 Guilherme Ramos
Half-time 0–1
J. Lang 🔁
↦ F. Ruschke
46′
49′
🔁 N. Katterbach
↦ M. Muheim
1–1 J. Perea
S. Ingelsson
50′
Damian Roßbach 🟨
54′
71′
🔁 R. Königsdörffer
↦ B. Jatta
C. Kinsombi 🔁
↦ N. Fröling
72′
S. Guðjohnsen 🔁
↦ J. Perea
81′
2–1 S. Guðjohnsen
82′
Markus Kolke 🟨
86′
Svante Ingelsson 🟨
86′
86′
R. Glatzel 2–2
I. Pherai
88′
🔁 S. Schonlau
↦ S. Ambrosius
88′
🔁 A. Németh
↦ J. Meffert
88′
🔁 A. Suhonen
↦ I. Pherai
Jannis Lang 🟨
92′
S. Rhein 🔁
↦ J. Bachmann
92′
S. Singh 🔁
↦ S. Ingelsson
92′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Hansa Rostock

3-5-2
1 M. Kolke G
26 J. Bachmann D
5 O. Hüsing D
4 D. Roßbach D
29 F. Ruschke M
10 N. Fröling M
6 D. Dressel M
14 S. Ingelsson M
13 K. Schumacher M
18 J. Perea F
49 Júnior Brumado F
Bench (9)
34 J. Lang
27 C. Kinsombi
45 S. Guðjohnsen
8 S. Rhein
28 S. Singh
24 J. Strauß
7 N. Neidhart
40 M. Johansson
3 K. Stafylidis

Coach: M. Selimbegovic

Hamburg

4-3-3
19 M. Raab G
22 I. Van der Brempt D
13 Guilherme Ramos D
35 S. Ambrosius D
28 M. Muheim D
10 I. Pherai M
23 J. Meffert M
14 L. Reis M
18 B. Jatta F
9 R. Glatzel F
27 J. Dompé F
Bench (9)
33 N. Katterbach
11 R. Königsdörffer
4 S. Schonlau
20 A. Németh
36 A. Suhonen
6 Ł. Poręba
3 M. Heyer
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes
21 L. Öztunalı

Coach: M. Polzin

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,62
U ✓
4,28
B
1,64
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,50
U2,5
2,51
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Zwayer · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.