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2. Bundesliga
Referee: D Schlager
Hertha
S U U T T
1–2
Full-time
Hamburg
U T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hertha Hamburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,5
4,0
Scored
1,5
2,2
Conceded
2,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 19/19 matches
Win Ø 45%
37%
53%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 69%
79%
58%
Both score Ø 61%
63%
58%
Average goals
3,5
3,4
Scored
1,9
2,0
Conceded
1,6
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

38% Possession 62%
7 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
1 Offside 2
21 Free kicks against 13
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hertha 10. · Hamburg 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 St Pauli 20 11 9 0 +20 42
2 Holstein Kiel 20 11 3 6 +8 36
3 Greuther Furth 20 10 5 5 +8 35
4 Hamburg 19 10 4 5 +12 34
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 19 9 4 6 +15 31
6 Hannover 19 7 7 5 +10 28
7 Karlsruhe 20 7 7 6 +2 28
8 Paderborn 19 8 4 7 -1 28
9 Nurnberg 20 8 4 8 -9 28
10 Hertha 19 7 5 7 +5 26
11 Wehen 20 7 5 8 -2 26
12 Elversberg 19 7 4 8 -4 25
13 Magdeburg 20 6 6 8 +2 24
14 Schalke 04 20 7 2 11 -8 23
15 Kaiserslautern 19 6 3 10 -7 21
16 Hansa Rostock 19 6 2 11 -13 20
17 Braunschweig 20 6 2 12 -14 20
18 Osnabruck 20 1 8 11 -24 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hertha Hamburg
Florian Niederlechner 🟨
-5′
Marc-Oliver Kempf 🟨
40′
Half-time 0–0
48′
🟨 Immanuel Pherai
57′
M. Muheim 0–1
J. Dompé
F. Reese 🔁
↦ P. Dárdai
60′
D. Scherhant 🔁
↦ M. Winkler
60′
1–1 H. Tabaković
62′
63′
🟨 Miro Muheim
Andreas Bouchalakis 🟨
69′
S. Prevljak 🔁
↦ F. Niederlechner
70′
Toni Leistner 🟨
72′
77′
🔁 R. Glatzel
↦ A. Németh
80′
🔁 L. Reis
↦ L. Bénes
80′
🔁 R. Königsdörffer
↦ B. Jatta
82′
L. Reis 1–2
I. Pherai
Derry Scherhant 🟨
94′
94′
🔁 A. Suhonen
↦ J. Dompé
94′
🔁 Ł. Poręba
↦ I. Pherai
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Hertha

4-2-3-1
12 T. Ernst G
16 J. Kenny D
37 T. Leistner D
20 M. Kempf D
6 M. Karbownik D
18 A. Barkok M
5 A. Bouchalakis M
27 P. Dárdai M
7 F. Niederlechner M
22 M. Winkler M
25 H. Tabaković F
Bench (9)
11 F. Reese
39 D. Scherhant
9 S. Prevljak
34 D. Zeefuik
23 B. Ibrahim
2 P. Pekarík
19 J. Dudziak
41 P. Klemens
35 M. Gersbeck

Coach: P. Dárdai

Hamburg

4-3-3
1 Daniel Heuer Fernandes G
22 I. Van der Brempt D
13 Guilherme Ramos D
35 S. Ambrosius D
28 M. Muheim D
10 I. Pherai M
23 J. Meffert M
8 L. Bénes M
18 B. Jatta F
20 A. Németh F
27 J. Dompé F
Bench (9)
9 R. Glatzel
14 L. Reis
11 R. Königsdörffer
36 A. Suhonen
6 Ł. Poręba
3 M. Heyer
19 M. Raab
21 L. Öztunalı
5 D. Hadžikadunić

Coach: T. Walter

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,00
U
3,79
B ✓
2,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,45
U2,5
2,67
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Schlager · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.