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Eredivisie

Referee: D Higler

Sparta Rotterdam

S U T S T

0–4

Full-time

PSV Eindhoven

T S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sparta Rotterdam PSV Eindhoven

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

50%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,7

3,8

Scored

1,3

2,7

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+1,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eredivisie · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 72%

43%

100%

Points per game

1,6

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 72%

57%

86%

Both score Ø 50%

71%

29%

Average goals

2,7

3,6

Scored

1,4

3,3

Conceded

1,3

0,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+3,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,29 xG 4,14

32% Possession 68%

8 Shots 30

3 Shots on target 11

3 Blocked shots 7

7 Goalkeeper saves 3

1 Corners 8

2 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 14

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sparta Rotterdam 7. · PSV Eindhoven 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	8	7	1	0	+18	+9.6	22
2	PSV Eindhoven	7	7	0	0	+21	+16.1	21
3	Twente	8	7	0	1	+13	+6.6	21
4	Feyenoord	8	6	2	0	+22	+17.6	20
5	Excelsior	8	3	4	1	+3	-1.9	13
6	Go Ahead Eagles	8	4	1	3	+2	-8.0	13
7	Sparta Rotterdam	7	3	2	2	+1	-0.6	11
8	Heracles	8	3	2	3	-5	-3.8	11
9	For Sittard	8	2	3	3	-7	-1.2	9
10	Nijmegen	8	2	2	4	-2	-7.2	8
11	Vitesse	8	2	1	5	-5	-3.4	7
12	Zwolle	8	2	1	5	-7	+0.1	7
13	Heerenveen	8	2	1	5	-8	-5.1	7
14	Almere City	8	2	1	5	-11	-3.7	7
15	Waalwijk	7	2	0	5	-9	-0.7	6
16	Ajax	6	1	2	3	-4	-2.6	5
17	Volendam	7	1	1	5	-9	-3.6	4
18	Utrecht	8	1	0	7	-13	-8.1	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Go Ahead Eagles	4	4	0	0	+11	+2.1	12
2	PSV Eindhoven	4	4	0	0	+11	+11.9	12
3	Twente	4	4	0	0	+6	+2.6	12
4	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+12	+9.0	10
5	AZ Alkmaar	4	3	1	0	+10	+7.0	10
6	Heracles	4	3	0	1	+2	+1.3	9
7	For Sittard	4	2	1	1	+0	+2.2	7
8	Nijmegen	4	2	0	2	+3	+0.6	6
9	Excelsior	4	1	3	0	+1	-1.2	6
10	Sparta Rotterdam	3	1	2	0	+1	+1.4	5
11	Volendam	4	1	1	2	-2	+1.1	4
12	Heerenveen	4	1	1	2	-3	+0.2	4
13	Zwolle	5	1	1	3	-5	+0.9	4
14	Ajax	3	1	0	2	-2	-1.2	3
15	Waalwijk	3	1	0	2	-5	-0.5	3
16	Almere City	4	1	0	3	-7	-2.5	3
17	Vitesse	4	0	1	3	-6	-2.5	1
18	Utrecht	3	0	0	3	-8	-4.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	AZ Alkmaar	4	4	0	0	+8	+2.6	12
2	Feyenoord	4	3	1	0	+10	+8.7	10
3	PSV Eindhoven	3	3	0	0	+10	+4.2	9
4	Twente	4	3	0	1	+7	+4.0	9
5	Excelsior	4	2	1	1	+2	-0.7	7
6	Vitesse	4	2	0	2	+1	-0.9	6
7	Sparta Rotterdam	4	2	0	2	+0	-2.0	6
8	Almere City	4	1	1	2	-4	-1.3	4
9	Zwolle	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.9	3
10	Waalwijk	4	1	0	3	-4	-0.2	3
11	Heerenveen	4	1	0	3	-5	-5.3	3
12	Utrecht	5	1	0	4	-5	-3.6	3
13	Ajax	3	0	2	1	-2	-1.4	2
14	Nijmegen	4	0	2	2	-5	-7.9	2
15	Heracles	4	0	2	2	-7	-5.1	2
16	For Sittard	4	0	2	2	-7	-3.4	2
17	Go Ahead Eagles	4	0	1	3	-9	-10.1	1
18	Volendam	3	0	0	3	-7	-4.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.