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LaLiga2
Referee: Álvaro Moreno
Tenerife
S T S T S
2–1
Full-time
Burgos
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tenerife Burgos
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 25%
17%
33%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — LaLiga2 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 56%
67%
44%
Points per game
2,0
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 39%
22%
56%
Both score Ø 28%
11%
44%
Average goals
1,8
2,6
Scored
1,1
1,3
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%
8 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 6
2 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 6
5 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 4
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Tenerife 6. · Burgos 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Espanol 9 6 2 1 +11 20
2 Leganes 10 6 1 3 +7 19
3 Zaragoza 9 6 1 2 +7 19
4 Levante 10 5 4 1 +5 19
5 Valladolid 10 6 1 3 +4 19
6 Tenerife 9 6 0 3 +4 18
7 Eibar 10 6 0 4 +3 18
8 Sp Gijon 10 5 2 3 +3 17
9 Santander 10 4 3 3 +2 15
10 Ferrol 9 4 3 2 +0 15
11 Albacete 10 4 2 4 -1 14
12 Burgos 9 4 1 4 +1 13
13 Eldense 10 3 2 5 -6 11
14 Villarreal B 9 2 4 3 +0 10
15 Oviedo 10 2 4 4 -1 10
16 Mirandes 10 3 1 6 -5 10
17 Andorra 9 3 1 5 -5 10
18 Amorebieta 10 2 3 5 -1 9
19 Elche 9 2 3 4 -6 9
20 Huesca 10 1 4 5 -5 7
21 Alcorcon 9 1 3 5 -9 6
22 Cartagena 9 1 1 7 -8 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Tenerife Burgos
15′
🟨 Andy Rodríguez
Dauda Mohammed 🟨
37′
Álex Corredera 🟨
42′
Dauda Mohammed 🟨
44′
Dauda Mohammed 🟥
44′
Half-time 0–0
Y. Bodiger 🔁
↦ Loïc Williams
46′
46′
🔁 Ander Martín
↦ Dani Ojeda
46′
🔁 Álex Bermejo
↦ Andy
49′
🟨 Aitor Córdoba Querejeta
56′
🟨 Unai Elguezabal
57′
🔁 Miki Muñoz
↦ Miguel Atienza
1–0 Roberto López
Fernando Medrano
64′
67′
🟨 Miguel Muñoz Mora
2–0 Enric Gallego
69′
75′
ℹ️ Curro
VAR: Penalty confirmed
76′
🔁 Lucas Ricoy
↦ Aitor Córdoba
77′
Curro Sánchez 2–1
Ángel Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Enric Gallego
79′
Teto 🔁
↦ Waldo Rubio
79′
87′
🔁 Álex Sancris
↦ Borja González
Aitor Buñuel 🔁
↦ J. Mellot
92′
Pablo Hernández 🔁
↦ Roberto López
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Tenerife

4-4-1-1
1 Juan Soriano G
22 J. Mellot D
6 José Amo D
31 Loïc Williams D
3 Fernando Medrano D
17 Waldo Rubio M
5 Sergio González M
10 Álex Corredera M
11 M. Dauda M
14 Roberto López F
18 Enric Gallego F
Bench (9)
15 Y. Bodiger
9 Ángel Rodríguez
21 Teto
2 Aitor Buñuel
20 Pablo Hernández
24 Nacho Martínez
28 Alassán
13 Tomeu Nadal
32 Jesús Belza

Coach: Asier Garitano

Burgos

5-3-2
13 José Caro G
2 Borja González D
18 Aitor Córdoba D
14 Unai Elgezabal D
24 E. Saveljich D
23 José Matos D
16 Curro Sánchez M
5 Miguel Atienza M
7 Dani Ojeda M
17 Andy F
19 Edu Espiau F
Bench (8)
8 Ander Martín
10 Álex Bermejo
22 Miki Muñoz
30 Lucas Ricoy
11 Álex Sancris
27 Javi López
12 K. Appin
1 L. Badiashile

Coach: Bolo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,81
U
3,24
B
4,84
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,52
U2,5
1,50
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Álvaro Moreno · 70 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,36 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.