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2. Bundesliga

Referee: P Schwengers

Elversberg

T T T T S

2–1

Full-time

Hamburg

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Elversberg Hamburg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

17%

83%

Points per game

0,7

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,2

4,2

Scored

1,0

2,8

Conceded

2,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 50%

20%

80%

Points per game

0,8

2,6

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

80%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

60%

40%

Average goals

3,6

Scored

1,2

2,6

Conceded

2,4

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

34% Possession 66%

16 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 5

7 Corners 6

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 9

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Elversberg 16. · Hamburg 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	5	4	1	0	+8	13
2	Holstein Kiel	5	4	0	1	+3	12
3	Magdeburg	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	3	1	1	+7	10
5	Hansa Rostock	5	3	0	2	+1	9
6	Kaiserslautern	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Hannover	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Wehen	6	2	2	2	+0	8
9	Nurnberg	6	2	2	2	-2	8
10	St Pauli	5	1	4	0	+1	7
11	Karlsruhe	5	2	1	2	+0	7
12	Paderborn	6	2	1	3	-5	7
13	Greuther Furth	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	Schalke 04	5	1	1	3	-2	4
15	Braunschweig	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Elversberg	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Hertha	5	1	0	4	-2	3
18	Osnabruck	5	0	1	4	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	3	3	0	0	+7	9
2	Magdeburg	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Kaiserslautern	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Hansa Rostock	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Holstein Kiel	3	2	0	1	+0	6
7	Nurnberg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
8	Wehen	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Greuther Furth	3	1	1	1	+3	4
10	Karlsruhe	2	1	1	0	+2	4
11	Paderborn	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Braunschweig	3	1	1	1	+0	4
13	Hertha	2	1	0	1	+4	3
14	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+1	3
15	St Pauli	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Osnabruck	3	0	0	3	-3	0
18	Elversberg	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hannover	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Holstein Kiel	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Magdeburg	3	1	2	0	+2	5
4	St Pauli	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	1	0	+5	4
6	Hamburg	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Elversberg	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Wehen	3	1	0	2	-1	3
9	Hansa Rostock	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Karlsruhe	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Kaiserslautern	2	1	0	1	-2	3
12	Nurnberg	3	1	0	2	-3	3
13	Paderborn	3	1	0	2	-5	3
14	Osnabruck	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Schalke 04	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Greuther Furth	3	0	1	2	-6	1
17	Braunschweig	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Hertha	3	0	0	3	-6	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.