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Eliteserien

Referee: S Moen

Stabaek

T T U T S

1–0

Full-time

Lillestrom

S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stabaek Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,0

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 35%

22%

48%

Points per game

0,9

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

52%

70%

Both score Ø 59%

48%

70%

Average goals

2,7

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,89 xG 1,01

45% Possession 55%

8 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 1

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

13 Free kicks against 9

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stabaek 15. · Lillestrom 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	23	16	4	3	+30	+13.6	52
2	Viking	24	16	4	4	+17	+3.3	52
3	Tromso	23	15	3	5	+11	+8.9	48
4	Brann	23	14	3	6	+16	+0.9	45
5	Molde	23	13	5	5	+28	+15.7	44
6	Lillestrom	23	11	3	9	+5	+5.9	36
7	Sarpsborg 08	23	10	4	9	+5	+0.9	34
8	Odd	24	8	7	9	-3	-3.3	31
9	Rosenborg	23	8	5	10	-6	-1.6	29
10	Stromsgodset	23	8	3	12	-5	-5.5	27
11	Valerenga	23	6	6	11	-7	-5.0	24
12	Ham-Kam	23	7	3	13	-18	-11.4	24
13	Sandefjord	23	5	6	12	-10	-11.1	21
14	Haugesund	23	5	6	12	-14	-5.7	21
15	Stabaek	23	5	5	13	-13	-4.4	20
16	Aalesund	23	3	3	17	-36	-1.1	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	12	9	2	1	+16	-0.8	29
2	Viking	12	9	2	1	+15	+2.4	29
3	Molde	11	8	2	1	+22	+9.1	26
4	Bodo/Glimt	11	8	2	1	+17	+5.1	26
5	Tromso	12	8	2	2	+9	+6.9	26
6	Lillestrom	12	7	0	5	+8	+3.9	21
7	Rosenborg	12	6	2	4	+4	+3.8	20
8	Sarpsborg 08	11	6	1	4	+9	-0.9	19
9	Odd	12	5	4	3	+3	-0.0	19
10	Ham-Kam	12	5	3	4	+1	-6.2	18
11	Sandefjord	11	4	4	3	+8	-6.5	16
12	Stromsgodset	11	5	1	5	+2	-1.6	16
13	Stabaek	12	4	3	5	+3	-3.3	15
14	Haugesund	11	4	2	5	-3	-5.4	14
15	Aalesund	12	3	3	6	-8	+4.6	12
16	Valerenga	11	2	2	7	-7	-0.5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	12	8	2	2	+13	+8.5	26
2	Viking	12	7	2	3	+2	+0.9	23
3	Tromso	11	7	1	3	+2	+1.9	22
4	Molde	12	5	3	4	+6	+6.7	18
5	Valerenga	12	4	4	4	+0	-4.5	16
6	Brann	11	5	1	5	+0	+1.6	16
7	Lillestrom	11	4	3	4	-3	+2.0	15
8	Sarpsborg 08	12	4	3	5	-4	+1.7	15
9	Odd	12	3	3	6	-6	-3.3	12
10	Stromsgodset	12	3	2	7	-7	-3.9	11
11	Rosenborg	11	2	3	6	-10	-5.3	9
12	Haugesund	12	1	4	7	-11	-0.3	7
13	Ham-Kam	11	2	0	9	-19	-5.2	6
14	Stabaek	11	1	2	8	-16	-1.2	5
15	Sandefjord	12	1	2	9	-18	-4.7	5
16	Aalesund	11	0	0	11	-28	-5.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.