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Eliteserien

Referee: S Kringstad

Valerenga

U S T T S

1–2

Full-time

Brann

U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valerenga Brann

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

4,2

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,7

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 44%

26%

61%

Points per game

1,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 61%

65%

57%

Both score Ø 61%

70%

52%

Average goals

3,1

2,9

Scored

1,4

1,8

Conceded

1,7

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,46 xG 0,49

37% Possession 63%

13 Shots 8

1 Shots on target 3

5 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 1

1 Offside 1

7 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Valerenga 12. · Brann 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	24	17	4	3	+32	+15.4	55
2	Viking	24	16	4	4	+17	+3.3	52
3	Tromso	24	15	3	6	+10	+8.9	48
4	Brann	23	14	3	6	+16	+0.9	45
5	Molde	24	13	5	6	+26	+13.9	44
6	Sarpsborg 08	24	11	4	9	+8	+2.4	37
7	Lillestrom	24	11	3	10	+4	+6.1	36
8	Odd	24	8	7	9	-3	-3.3	31
9	Rosenborg	24	8	5	11	-9	-3.1	29
10	Stromsgodset	24	8	3	13	-6	-6.1	27
11	Ham-Kam	24	8	3	13	-17	-11.2	27
12	Valerenga	23	6	6	11	-7	-5.0	24
13	Haugesund	24	6	6	12	-13	-5.1	24
14	Stabaek	24	6	5	13	-12	-4.6	23
15	Sandefjord	24	5	6	13	-11	-11.2	21
16	Aalesund	24	4	3	17	-35	-1.1	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	12	9	2	1	+16	-0.8	29
2	Viking	12	9	2	1	+15	+2.4	29
3	Molde	12	8	2	2	+20	+7.2	26
4	Bodo/Glimt	11	8	2	1	+17	+5.1	26
5	Tromso	13	8	2	3	+8	+6.9	26
6	Sarpsborg 08	12	7	1	4	+12	+0.7	22
7	Lillestrom	12	7	0	5	+8	+3.9	21
8	Rosenborg	12	6	2	4	+4	+3.8	20
9	Odd	12	5	4	3	+3	-0.0	19
10	Stabaek	13	5	3	5	+4	-3.4	18
11	Ham-Kam	12	5	3	4	+1	-6.2	18
12	Haugesund	12	5	2	5	-2	-4.8	17
13	Sandefjord	12	4	4	4	+7	-6.6	16
14	Stromsgodset	11	5	1	5	+2	-1.6	16
15	Aalesund	12	3	3	6	-8	+4.6	12
16	Valerenga	11	2	2	7	-7	-0.5	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	13	9	2	2	+15	+10.3	29
2	Viking	12	7	2	3	+2	+0.9	23
3	Tromso	11	7	1	3	+2	+1.9	22
4	Molde	12	5	3	4	+6	+6.7	18
5	Valerenga	12	4	4	4	+0	-4.5	16
6	Brann	11	5	1	5	+0	+1.6	16
7	Sarpsborg 08	12	4	3	5	-4	+1.7	15
8	Lillestrom	12	4	3	5	-4	+2.1	15
9	Odd	12	3	3	6	-6	-3.3	12
10	Stromsgodset	13	3	2	8	-8	-4.5	11
11	Rosenborg	12	2	3	7	-13	-6.9	9
12	Ham-Kam	12	3	0	9	-18	-5.1	9
13	Haugesund	12	1	4	7	-11	-0.3	7
14	Stabaek	11	1	2	8	-16	-1.2	5
15	Sandefjord	12	1	2	9	-18	-4.7	5
16	Aalesund	12	1	0	11	-27	-5.7	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.