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Allsvenskan

Referee: K Karlsson

Kalmar

S T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Malmo FF

S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kalmar Malmo FF

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

67%

83%

Points per game

2,0

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 58%

33%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,3

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+1,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Allsvenskan · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 54%

40%

68%

Points per game

1,4

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

44%

72%

Both score Ø 46%

44%

48%

Average goals

2,4

3,0

Scored

1,1

2,1

Conceded

1,3

0,9

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,72 xG 1,17

40% Possession 60%

5 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 2

1 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

13 Free kicks against 13

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kalmar 7. · Malmo FF 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Malmo FF	25	17	4	4	+31	+6.9	55
2	Elfsborg	25	17	3	5	+27	+4.0	54
3	Hacken	25	16	2	7	+27	+6.3	50
4	Djurgarden	25	13	4	8	+6	+2.3	43
5	Hammarby	25	11	6	8	+2	+3.8	39
6	Norrkoping	25	11	5	9	+6	+4.8	38
7	Kalmar	25	10	6	9	-4	-4.4	36
8	Varnamo	25	11	2	12	+0	-0.1	35
9	Mjallby	26	10	4	12	-3	-5.0	34
10	Sirius	26	9	5	12	+2	+6.9	32
11	AIK	26	8	7	11	-3	-0.5	31
12	Goteborg	26	7	9	10	-2	-0.9	30
13	Halmstad	26	8	6	12	-17	-2.4	30
14	Brommapojkarna	25	8	3	14	-10	-1.7	27
15	Degerfors	26	7	3	16	-29	-10.6	24
16	Varberg	25	3	5	17	-33	-9.5	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Hacken	13	12	0	1	+26	+3.9	36
2	Djurgarden	13	10	1	2	+12	+3.9	31
3	Malmo FF	13	9	3	1	+21	+2.1	30
4	Elfsborg	13	9	2	2	+17	+0.5	29
5	Hammarby	12	8	2	2	+8	+1.6	26
6	Kalmar	12	6	3	3	+0	-2.3	21
7	AIK	13	5	5	3	+5	+3.7	20
8	Norrkoping	13	6	2	5	+2	+0.2	20
9	Goteborg	13	5	3	5	+7	-0.0	18
10	Degerfors	13	5	2	6	-3	-2.4	17
11	Sirius	13	5	1	7	+5	+7.3	16
12	Halmstad	13	4	4	5	-6	-0.6	16
13	Brommapojkarna	12	4	2	6	-2	+0.4	14
14	Varnamo	12	4	1	7	-3	+1.0	13
15	Mjallby	13	3	3	7	-4	-4.8	12
16	Varberg	12	1	3	8	-18	-1.7	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Elfsborg	12	8	1	3	+10	+3.5	25
2	Malmo FF	12	8	1	3	+10	+4.8	25
3	Varnamo	13	7	1	5	+3	-1.1	22
4	Mjallby	13	7	1	5	+1	-0.2	22
5	Norrkoping	12	5	3	4	+4	+4.6	18
6	Sirius	13	4	4	5	-3	-0.4	16
7	Kalmar	13	4	3	6	-4	-2.1	15
8	Hacken	12	4	2	6	+1	+2.5	14
9	Halmstad	13	4	2	7	-11	-1.8	14
10	Hammarby	13	3	4	6	-6	+2.2	13
11	Brommapojkarna	13	4	1	8	-8	-2.1	13
12	Djurgarden	12	3	3	6	-6	-1.6	12
13	Goteborg	13	2	6	5	-9	-0.8	12
14	AIK	13	3	2	8	-8	-4.2	11
15	Varberg	13	2	2	9	-15	-7.8	8
16	Degerfors	13	2	1	10	-26	-8.2	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.