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2. Bundesliga
Referee: F Exner
Nurnberg
T U T S T
3–3
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Kaiserslautern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,7
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
33%
17%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
0,7
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 34%
30%
37%
Points per game
1,1
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
43%
50%
Both score Ø 43%
33%
53%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
0,9
1,4
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

39% Possession 61%
6 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 10
1 Offside 1
7 Free kicks against 7
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 14. · Kaiserslautern 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Darmstadt 31 19 7 5 +21 64
2 Heidenheim 30 17 9 4 +30 60
3 Hamburg 31 17 6 8 +19 57
4 St Pauli 31 15 8 8 +15 53
5 Fortuna Dusseldorf 31 16 5 10 +14 53
6 Paderborn 31 15 6 10 +24 51
7 Kaiserslautern 30 11 11 8 +5 44
8 Karlsruhe 31 12 6 13 +2 42
9 Hannover 31 11 7 13 -2 40
10 Holstein Kiel 31 10 10 11 -7 40
11 Magdeburg 30 11 5 14 -10 38
12 Greuther Furth 31 9 10 12 -6 37
13 Hansa Rostock 31 10 4 17 -18 34
14 Nurnberg 30 9 6 15 -18 33
15 Braunschweig 30 8 8 14 -16 32
16 Bielefeld 31 8 6 17 -9 30
17 Regensburg 31 7 7 17 -20 28
18 Sandhausen 30 7 7 16 -24 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Nurnberg Kaiserslautern
Enrico Valentini 🟨
-5′
1–0 M. Dæhli
F. Lohkemper
4′
10′
🟨 Ben Zolinski
10′
ℹ️ Ben Zolinski
VAR: Card upgrade
Jens Castrop 🟨
21′
21′
🟨 Aaron Opoku
2–0 J. Castrop
M. Dæhli
35′
36′
🔁 P. Klement
↦ B. Zolinski
40′
T. Boyd 2–1
A. Opoku
Half-time 2–1
46′
🔁 N. Rapp
↦ R. Bormuth
3–1 K. Duah
J. Castrop
50′
65′
🔁 L. Lobinger
↦ A. Opoku
J. Lawrence 🔁
↦ F. Lohkemper
68′
F. Nürnberger 🔁
↦ L. Schleimer
68′
74′
🔁 D. Hanslik
↦ M. Ritter
74′
🔁 E. Durm
↦ H. Zuck
J. Geis 🔁
↦ C. Schindler
76′
C. Daferner 🔁
↦ K. Duah
81′
T. Handwerker 🔁
↦ N. Brown
82′
88′
J. Niehues 3–2
P. Klement
Tim Handwerker 🟨
94′
95′
P. Klement 3–3
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Nurnberg

4-2-3-1
30 P. Vindahl G
17 J. Castrop D
16 C. Schindler D
38 J. Horn D
35 N. Brown D
6 L. Tempelmann M
21 F. Flick M
36 L. Schleimer M
10 M. Dæhli M
7 F. Lohkemper M
23 K. Duah F
Bench (9)
4 J. Lawrence
15 F. Nürnberger
5 J. Geis
33 C. Daferner
29 T. Handwerker
14 B. Goller
8 T. Duman
22 E. Valentini
1 C. Klaus

Coach: D. Hecking

Kaiserslautern

4-2-3-1
18 J. Krahl G
8 J. Zimmer D
2 B. Tomiak D
32 R. Bormuth D
21 H. Zuck D
7 M. Ritter M
16 J. Niehues M
23 P. Hercher M
31 B. Zolinski M
25 A. Opoku M
13 T. Boyd F
Bench (9)
10 P. Klement
4 N. Rapp
27 L. Lobinger
19 D. Hanslik
37 E. Durm
11 K. Redondo
33 J. Weyand
22 L. Bünning
20 D. Schad

Coach: D. Schuster

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,13
U ✓
3,31
B
3,42
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,99
U2,5
1,79
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Exner · 51 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.