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2. Bundesliga

Heidenheim

U S S T T

1–0

Full-time

Holstein Kiel

S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Heidenheim Holstein Kiel

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,0

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

1,5

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 26/25 matches

Win Ø 47%

42%

52%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

50%

44%

Both score Ø 53%

46%

60%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

13 Shots 13

3 Shots on target 3

7 Corners 7

15 Free kicks against 2

2 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Heidenheim 7. · Holstein Kiel 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	27	17	3	7	+23	54
2	Hamburg	27	14	8	5	+23	50
3	Greuther Furth	27	14	8	5	+19	50
4	Holstein Kiel	25	13	7	5	+15	46
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	27	12	7	8	+2	43
6	Karlsruhe	27	12	6	9	+6	42
7	Heidenheim	26	11	6	9	+2	39
8	St Pauli	27	10	8	9	-2	38
9	Erzgebirge Aue	27	10	7	10	-1	37
10	Hannover	25	10	6	9	+8	36
11	Paderborn	27	9	8	10	+1	35
12	Darmstadt	27	9	5	13	-3	32
13	Nurnberg	27	8	8	11	-6	32
14	Regensburg	26	7	10	9	-5	31
15	Osnabruck	26	7	5	14	-15	26
16	Braunschweig	27	6	8	13	-23	26
17	Sandhausen	27	7	4	16	-18	25
18	Wurzburger Kickers	26	4	4	18	-26	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	14	9	2	3	+17	29
2	Hamburg	13	8	3	2	+18	27
3	Heidenheim	13	8	3	2	+13	27
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	8	3	2	+6	27
5	Erzgebirge Aue	13	7	4	2	+8	25
6	Holstein Kiel	12	7	2	3	+5	23
7	Hannover	12	6	4	2	+11	22
8	Paderborn	13	6	4	3	+4	22
9	Sandhausen	14	6	4	4	+3	22
10	Greuther Furth	13	6	3	4	+6	21
11	St Pauli	14	6	3	5	-1	21
12	Braunschweig	14	6	3	5	-3	21
13	Regensburg	14	5	5	4	+2	20
14	Darmstadt	14	5	2	7	+0	17
15	Nurnberg	14	4	5	5	-3	17
16	Karlsruhe	14	4	4	6	+0	16
17	Wurzburger Kickers	13	3	4	6	-7	13
18	Osnabruck	12	2	1	9	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	14	8	5	1	+13	29
2	Karlsruhe	13	8	2	3	+6	26
3	Bochum	13	8	1	4	+6	25
4	Holstein Kiel	13	6	5	2	+10	23
5	Hamburg	14	6	5	3	+5	23
6	Osnabruck	14	5	4	5	-6	19
7	St Pauli	13	4	5	4	-1	17
8	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	4	4	6	-4	16
9	Darmstadt	13	4	3	6	-3	15
10	Nurnberg	13	4	3	6	-3	15
11	Hannover	13	4	2	7	-3	14
12	Paderborn	14	3	4	7	-3	13
13	Erzgebirge Aue	14	3	3	8	-9	12
14	Heidenheim	13	3	3	7	-11	12
15	Regensburg	12	2	5	5	-7	11
16	Braunschweig	13	0	5	8	-20	5
17	Wurzburger Kickers	13	1	0	12	-19	3
18	Sandhausen	13	1	0	12	-21	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.