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2. Bundesliga
3–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Greuther Furth Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,8
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
100%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
4,2
3,3
Scored
2,5
2,3
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 50%
52%
48%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 72%
73%
70%
Both score Ø 60%
67%
52%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

16 Shots 4
8 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 4
12 Free kicks against 12
3 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Greuther Furth 3. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bochum 33 20 4 9 +25 64
2 Holstein Kiel 33 18 8 7 +23 62
3 Greuther Furth 33 17 10 6 +24 61
4 Fortuna Dusseldorf 33 16 8 9 +10 56
5 Hamburg 33 15 10 8 +23 55
6 Heidenheim 33 15 6 12 +1 51
7 Karlsruhe 33 13 10 10 +6 49
8 Darmstadt 33 14 6 13 +7 48
9 St Pauli 33 13 8 12 -2 47
10 Paderborn 33 12 10 11 +8 46
11 Hannover 33 12 6 15 +3 42
12 Nurnberg 33 10 11 12 -6 41
13 Erzgebirge Aue 33 11 8 14 -10 41
14 Regensburg 33 8 11 14 -16 35
15 Sandhausen 33 10 4 19 -17 34
16 Osnabruck 33 9 6 18 -22 33
17 Braunschweig 33 7 10 16 -25 31
18 Wurzburger Kickers 33 6 6 21 -32 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,57
U
4,47
B
4,87
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,41
U2,5
2,82
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.