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2. Bundesliga

Fortuna Dusseldorf

T S S S S

2–1

Full-time

Paderborn

T T T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fortuna Dusseldorf Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

83%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

3,3

2,2

Scored

2,0

0,8

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,5

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 46%

54%

38%

Points per game

1,8

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

69%

38%

Both score Ø 39%

46%

31%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,2

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

15 Shots 12

9 Shots on target 4

7 Corners 10

11 Free kicks against 13

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fortuna Dusseldorf 5. · Paderborn 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	14	9	2	3	+12	29
2	Holstein Kiel	14	8	4	2	+10	28
3	Greuther Furth	14	8	3	3	+11	27
4	Bochum	14	8	2	4	+11	26
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	7	2	4	+1	23
6	Erzgebirge Aue	14	6	4	4	+7	22
7	Heidenheim	14	6	4	4	+3	22
8	Osnabruck	14	6	4	4	+0	22
9	Hannover	14	6	2	6	+5	20
10	Karlsruhe	14	6	1	7	+2	19
11	Nurnberg	14	5	4	5	+2	19
12	Paderborn	13	5	3	5	+2	18
13	Darmstadt	14	5	3	6	+1	18
14	Regensburg	14	4	5	5	-2	17
15	Braunschweig	14	3	3	8	-18	12
16	Sandhausen	14	3	2	9	-19	11
17	St Pauli	13	1	5	7	-10	8
18	Wurzburger Kickers	13	1	1	11	-18	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Heidenheim	8	5	3	0	+9	18
2	Bochum	8	5	2	1	+12	17
3	Hannover	7	5	1	1	+11	16
4	Hamburg	8	5	1	2	+9	16
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	5	1	0	+7	16
6	Erzgebirge Aue	7	4	2	1	+7	14
7	Holstein Kiel	8	4	2	2	+2	14
8	Regensburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Nurnberg	7	3	2	2	+1	11
10	Paderborn	6	3	1	2	+2	10
11	Greuther Furth	7	3	1	3	+0	10
12	Braunschweig	7	3	1	3	-4	10
13	Darmstadt	6	2	2	2	+1	8
14	Sandhausen	7	2	2	3	-6	8
15	Osnabruck	6	2	1	3	-3	7
16	Karlsruhe	6	2	0	4	+0	6
17	St Pauli	6	1	2	3	-5	5
18	Wurzburger Kickers	7	1	1	5	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	Osnabruck	8	4	3	1	+3	15
3	Holstein Kiel	6	4	2	0	+8	14
4	Hamburg	6	4	1	1	+3	13
5	Karlsruhe	8	4	1	3	+2	13
6	Darmstadt	8	3	1	4	+0	10
7	Bochum	6	3	0	3	-1	9
8	Nurnberg	7	2	2	3	+1	8
9	Erzgebirge Aue	7	2	2	3	+0	8
10	Paderborn	7	2	2	3	+0	8
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	7	2	1	4	-6	7
12	Regensburg	7	1	3	3	-4	6
13	Heidenheim	6	1	1	4	-6	4
14	Hannover	7	1	1	5	-6	4
15	St Pauli	7	0	3	4	-5	3
16	Sandhausen	7	1	0	6	-13	3
17	Braunschweig	7	0	2	5	-14	2
18	Wurzburger Kickers	6	0	0	6	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.