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2. Bundesliga

Paderborn

U T S U U

2–1

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

U T S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paderborn Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+0,8

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 30/29 matches

Win Ø 41%

33%

48%

Points per game

1,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

50%

66%

Both score Ø 49%

50%

48%

Average goals

2,5

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,5

Conceded

1,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

16 Shots 14

4 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 11

8 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paderborn 9. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	30	19	3	8	+23	60
2	Greuther Furth	29	15	9	5	+22	54
3	Hamburg	29	14	8	7	+21	50
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	29	14	7	8	+7	49
5	Heidenheim	30	14	6	10	+6	48
6	Holstein Kiel	26	13	7	6	+14	46
7	St Pauli	30	12	8	10	+2	44
8	Karlsruhe	28	12	7	9	+6	43
9	Paderborn	30	10	10	10	+4	40
10	Erzgebirge Aue	30	11	7	12	-2	40
11	Hannover	29	11	6	12	+6	39
12	Darmstadt	30	11	6	13	+0	39
13	Nurnberg	29	9	9	11	-5	36
14	Regensburg	29	8	10	11	-9	34
15	Braunschweig	31	7	9	15	-24	30
16	Sandhausen	28	8	4	16	-17	28
17	Osnabruck	30	7	6	17	-23	27
18	Wurzburger Kickers	31	5	6	20	-31	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	15	10	2	3	+18	32
2	Heidenheim	15	9	3	3	+12	30
3	Fortuna Dusseldorf	14	9	3	2	+8	30
4	Hamburg	14	8	3	3	+17	27
5	Paderborn	15	7	5	3	+7	26
6	Hannover	15	7	4	4	+10	25
7	Erzgebirge Aue	15	7	4	4	+5	25
8	Sandhausen	15	7	4	4	+4	25
9	Greuther Furth	14	7	3	4	+9	24
10	St Pauli	15	7	3	5	+3	24
11	Holstein Kiel	12	7	2	3	+5	23
12	Braunschweig	16	6	4	6	-5	22
13	Regensburg	15	5	5	5	-1	20
14	Darmstadt	15	5	3	7	+0	18
15	Karlsruhe	15	4	5	6	+0	17
16	Nurnberg	14	4	5	5	-3	17
17	Wurzburger Kickers	15	3	5	7	-9	14
18	Osnabruck	15	2	1	12	-17	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	15	8	6	1	+13	30
2	Bochum	15	9	1	5	+5	28
3	Karlsruhe	13	8	2	3	+6	26
4	Holstein Kiel	14	6	5	3	+9	23
5	Hamburg	15	6	5	4	+4	23
6	Darmstadt	15	6	3	6	+0	21
7	St Pauli	15	5	5	5	-1	20
8	Osnabruck	15	5	5	5	-6	20
9	Fortuna Dusseldorf	15	5	4	6	-1	19
10	Nurnberg	15	5	4	6	-2	19
11	Heidenheim	15	5	3	7	-6	18
12	Erzgebirge Aue	15	4	3	8	-7	15
13	Paderborn	15	3	5	7	-3	14
14	Hannover	14	4	2	8	-4	14
15	Regensburg	14	3	5	6	-8	14
16	Braunschweig	15	1	5	9	-19	8
17	Wurzburger Kickers	16	2	1	13	-22	7
18	Sandhausen	13	1	0	12	-21	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.