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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

U U U T T

0–1

Full-time

Fortuna Dusseldorf

S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue Fortuna Dusseldorf

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,7

Scored

0,7

1,5

Conceded

1,3

2,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 5/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,6

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

40%

60%

Both score Ø 50%

40%

60%

Average goals

1,8

3,4

Scored

0,4

1,4

Conceded

1,4

2,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

15 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 7

9 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 18. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	5	4	0	1	+9	12
2	Paderborn	5	3	2	0	+8	11
3	Werder Bremen	6	3	2	1	+4	11
4	Dresden	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	St Pauli	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Karlsruhe	6	2	3	1	+4	9
7	Nurnberg	5	2	3	0	+3	9
8	Hamburg	6	2	3	1	+2	9
9	Darmstadt	5	2	1	2	+4	7
10	Schalke 04	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Hannover	6	2	1	3	-7	7
12	Heidenheim	5	1	3	1	+0	6
13	Holstein Kiel	6	1	2	3	-6	5
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Hansa Rostock	5	1	1	3	-4	4
16	Sandhausen	6	1	1	4	-6	4
17	Ingolstadt	6	1	1	4	-10	4
18	Erzgebirge Aue	5	0	3	2	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Pauli	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Nurnberg	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Darmstadt	3	2	0	1	+7	6
4	Regensburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
5	Dresden	3	2	0	1	+2	6
6	Hannover	3	2	0	1	-1	6
7	Karlsruhe	3	1	2	0	+3	5
8	Hamburg	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Paderborn	2	1	1	0	+2	4
10	Werder Bremen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Schalke 04	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Heidenheim	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Holstein Kiel	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Erzgebirge Aue	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Ingolstadt	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Sandhausen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Hansa Rostock	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paderborn	3	2	1	0	+6	7
2	Werder Bremen	3	2	1	0	+4	7
3	Regensburg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
4	Dresden	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Hamburg	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Karlsruhe	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Hansa Rostock	3	1	1	1	+0	4
8	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Sandhausen	3	1	0	2	-2	3
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3	1	0	2	-2	3
12	Ingolstadt	3	1	0	2	-6	3
13	Nurnberg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Holstein Kiel	3	0	2	1	-3	2
15	Erzgebirge Aue	3	0	2	1	-3	2
16	Darmstadt	2	0	1	1	-3	1
17	St Pauli	3	0	1	2	-3	1
18	Hannover	3	0	1	2	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.