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2. Bundesliga

Holstein Kiel

T T T T U

3–0

Full-time

Erzgebirge Aue

S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Holstein Kiel Erzgebirge Aue

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,0

Scored

0,7

Conceded

2,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-2,0

-0,7

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

100%

25%

Both score Ø 38%

25%

50%

Average goals

3,3

1,5

Scored

0,5

Conceded

2,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-2,3

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

18 Shots 17

9 Shots on target 1

6 Corners 5

13 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Holstein Kiel 18. · Erzgebirge Aue 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	4	4	0	0	+11	12
2	Dresden	4	3	1	0	+7	10
3	Nurnberg	5	2	3	0	+3	9
4	Paderborn	4	2	2	0	+5	8
5	Karlsruhe	5	2	2	1	+4	8
6	St Pauli	4	2	1	1	+2	7
7	Hamburg	4	1	2	1	+1	5
8	Heidenheim	4	1	2	1	+0	5
9	Werder Bremen	4	1	2	1	-2	5
10	Darmstadt	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	4	1	1	2	-1	4
12	Hansa Rostock	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Schalke 04	4	1	1	2	-2	4
14	Hannover	4	1	1	2	-4	4
15	Sandhausen	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Ingolstadt	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Erzgebirge Aue	4	0	3	1	-2	3
18	Holstein Kiel	4	0	1	3	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Nurnberg	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Regensburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
3	Dresden	2	2	0	0	+5	6
4	St Pauli	2	2	0	0	+4	6
5	Karlsruhe	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Paderborn	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Darmstadt	2	1	0	1	+3	3
8	Hannover	2	1	0	1	-2	3
9	Hamburg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
10	Heidenheim	2	0	2	0	+0	2
11	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	0	1	1	-1	1
12	Ingolstadt	2	0	1	1	-1	1
13	Schalke 04	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Erzgebirge Aue	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Werder Bremen	2	0	1	1	-3	1
16	Sandhausen	3	0	1	2	-4	1
17	Hansa Rostock	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Holstein Kiel	2	0	0	2	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Regensburg	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Paderborn	2	1	1	0	+3	4
3	Hansa Rostock	2	1	1	0	+3	4
4	Dresden	2	1	1	0	+2	4
5	Karlsruhe	3	1	1	1	+1	4
6	Werder Bremen	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	+0	3
9	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Fortuna Dusseldorf	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Sandhausen	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Ingolstadt	3	1	0	2	-6	3
13	Nurnberg	2	0	2	0	+0	2
14	Erzgebirge Aue	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	St Pauli	2	0	1	1	-2	1
16	Hannover	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Holstein Kiel	2	0	1	1	-3	1
18	Darmstadt	2	0	1	1	-3	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.