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2. Bundesliga

Erzgebirge Aue

U S T U U

3–1

Full-time

St Pauli

U T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzgebirge Aue St Pauli

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,5

2,0

Scored

2,0

1,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,0

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 31%

38%

23%

Points per game

1,5

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

46%

38%

Both score Ø 66%

62%

69%

Average goals

3,0

2,6

Scored

1,5

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,0

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

13 Shots 14

7 Shots on target 5

5 Corners 9

10 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzgebirge Aue 5. · St Pauli 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	13	8	4	1	+15	28
2	Hamburg	13	7	5	1	+18	26
3	Stuttgart	13	7	2	4	+2	23
4	Heidenheim	13	5	5	3	+7	20
5	Erzgebirge Aue	13	5	5	3	+1	20
6	Greuther Furth	13	5	3	5	-2	18
7	Regensburg	13	4	5	4	+4	17
8	Sandhausen	13	4	5	4	+0	17
9	Osnabruck	13	4	4	5	+2	16
10	Karlsruhe	13	3	7	3	-2	16
11	St Pauli	13	3	6	4	+0	15
12	Holstein Kiel	13	4	3	6	-3	15
13	Darmstadt	13	3	6	4	-4	15
14	Nurnberg	13	3	5	5	-6	14
15	Hannover	13	3	5	5	-8	14
16	Bochum	13	2	7	4	-2	13
17	Dresden	13	3	3	7	-10	12
18	Wehen	13	2	4	7	-12	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Hamburg	6	5	1	0	+14	16
2	Stuttgart	7	5	0	2	+5	15
3	Erzgebirge Aue	6	4	2	0	+6	14
4	Heidenheim	7	4	1	2	+6	13
5	Sandhausen	7	3	3	1	+2	12
6	Greuther Furth	6	4	0	2	+1	12
7	Osnabruck	7	3	2	2	+5	11
8	St Pauli	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Darmstadt	6	2	4	0	+3	10
10	Dresden	7	3	1	3	-1	10
11	Bielefeld	6	2	3	1	+2	9
12	Karlsruhe	6	2	3	1	+1	9
13	Holstein Kiel	7	2	3	2	+0	9
14	Bochum	6	1	5	0	+2	8
15	Regensburg	6	2	2	2	+0	8
16	Nurnberg	7	1	4	2	-7	7
17	Wehen	7	1	2	4	-10	5
18	Hannover	6	0	4	2	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	7	6	1	0	+13	19
2	Hamburg	7	2	4	1	+4	10
3	Hannover	7	3	1	3	-2	10
4	Regensburg	7	2	3	2	+4	9
5	Stuttgart	6	2	2	2	-3	8
6	Nurnberg	6	2	1	3	+1	7
7	Heidenheim	6	1	4	1	+1	7
8	Karlsruhe	7	1	4	2	-3	7
9	Greuther Furth	7	1	3	3	-3	6
10	Holstein Kiel	6	2	0	4	-3	6
11	Erzgebirge Aue	7	1	3	3	-5	6
12	Wehen	6	1	2	3	-2	5
13	Sandhausen	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Osnabruck	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Bochum	7	1	2	4	-4	5
16	Darmstadt	7	1	2	4	-7	5
17	St Pauli	6	0	4	2	-2	4
18	Dresden	6	0	2	4	-9	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.