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2. Bundesliga

Nurnberg

S T S S T

1–0

Full-time

Erzgebirge Aue

S S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Erzgebirge Aue

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

1,2

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 12/12 matches

Win Ø 38%

33%

42%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

50%

58%

Both score Ø 63%

75%

50%

Average goals

3,1

2,8

Scored

1,7

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

12 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 3

3 Corners 5

18 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 13. · Erzgebirge Aue 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Holstein Kiel	12	7	4	1	+9	25
2	Greuther Furth	13	7	3	3	+10	24
3	Bochum	13	7	2	4	+10	23
4	Hamburg	12	7	2	3	+9	23
5	Fortuna Dusseldorf	12	6	2	4	-2	20
6	Erzgebirge Aue	12	5	4	3	+6	19
7	Heidenheim	13	5	4	4	+1	19
8	Osnabruck	13	5	4	4	-1	19
9	Darmstadt	13	5	3	5	+2	18
10	Paderborn	13	5	3	5	+2	18
11	Hannover	13	5	2	6	+1	17
12	Regensburg	13	4	5	4	+0	17
13	Nurnberg	12	4	4	4	+3	16
14	Karlsruhe	12	5	1	6	+1	16
15	Braunschweig	13	3	3	7	-16	12
16	Sandhausen	12	3	2	7	-13	11
17	St Pauli	11	1	5	5	-6	8
18	Wurzburger Kickers	12	1	1	10	-16	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	5	1	0	+7	16
2	Heidenheim	7	4	3	0	+7	15
3	Bochum	7	4	2	1	+11	14
4	Holstein Kiel	7	4	2	1	+3	14
5	Hamburg	7	4	1	2	+7	13
6	Hannover	6	4	1	1	+7	13
7	Erzgebirge Aue	6	3	2	1	+5	11
8	Regensburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
9	Paderborn	6	3	1	2	+2	10
10	Braunschweig	7	3	1	3	-4	10
11	Darmstadt	6	2	2	2	+1	8
12	Nurnberg	6	2	2	2	+0	8
13	Sandhausen	6	2	2	2	-4	8
14	Greuther Furth	6	2	1	3	-1	7
15	Osnabruck	6	2	1	3	-3	7
16	Karlsruhe	5	2	0	3	+1	6
17	St Pauli	5	1	2	2	-2	5
18	Wurzburger Kickers	6	1	1	4	-6	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	7	5	2	0	+11	17
2	Osnabruck	7	3	3	1	+2	12
3	Holstein Kiel	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Hamburg	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Darmstadt	7	3	1	3	+1	10
6	Karlsruhe	7	3	1	3	+0	10
7	Bochum	6	3	0	3	-1	9
8	Nurnberg	6	2	2	2	+3	8
9	Erzgebirge Aue	6	2	2	2	+1	8
10	Paderborn	7	2	2	3	+0	8
11	Regensburg	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Heidenheim	6	1	1	4	-6	4
13	Hannover	7	1	1	5	-6	4
14	Fortuna Dusseldorf	6	1	1	4	-9	4
15	St Pauli	6	0	3	3	-4	3
16	Sandhausen	6	1	0	5	-9	3
17	Braunschweig	6	0	2	4	-12	2
18	Wurzburger Kickers	6	0	0	6	-10	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.