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2. Bundesliga
Nurnberg
T S T T S
2–2
Full-time
Heidenheim
S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Heidenheim
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/4 matches
Win Ø 29%
33%
25%
Points per game
1,0
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
67%
75%
Both score Ø 54%
33%
75%
Average goals
3,5
3,3
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
2,7
1,8
Goal diff per game
-1,8
-0,3
This season — 2. Bundesliga · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 38%
50%
25%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
50%
75%
Both score Ø 50%
25%
75%
Average goals
2,8
3,3
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

27 Shots 8
7 Shots on target 2
8 Corners 7
9 Free kicks against 9
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Nurnberg 9. · Heidenheim 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Hamburg 4 3 1 0 +7 10
2 Bielefeld 4 2 2 0 +4 8
3 Stuttgart 4 2 2 0 +2 8
4 Sandhausen 4 2 1 1 +2 7
5 Erzgebirge Aue 4 2 1 1 +1 7
6 Greuther Furth 4 2 1 1 +1 7
7 Osnabruck 4 2 0 2 +2 6
8 Karlsruhe 4 2 0 2 +0 6
9 Nurnberg 4 2 0 2 -3 6
10 Hannover 4 1 2 1 +2 5
11 Darmstadt 4 1 2 1 -2 5
12 Heidenheim 4 1 1 2 -1 4
13 Regensburg 4 1 1 2 -1 4
14 St Pauli 4 1 1 2 -2 4
15 Dresden 4 1 1 2 -2 4
16 Holstein Kiel 4 1 1 2 -2 4
17 Bochum 4 0 2 2 -3 2
18 Wehen 4 0 1 3 -5 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,15
U ✓
3,44
B
3,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,76
U2,5
2,05
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.