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Championship
Referee: O Langford
Luton
3–3
Full-time
Middlesbrough
S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

49% Possession 51%
12 Shots 17
4 Shots on target 8
5 Blocked shots 4
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
8 Corners 11
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 20
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Luton Middlesbrough
7′
⚽ A. Fletcher 0–1
M. Johnson
1–1 S. Bradley ⚽
17′
2–1 M. Cranie ⚽
A. Shinnie
24′
37′
⚽ B. Assombalonga 2–2
A. Fletcher
39′
🟨 Ashley Fletcher
Pelly Ruddock Mpanzu 🟨
45′
Half-time 2–2
James Collins 🟨
49′
J. Butterfield 🔁
↦ E. Lee
60′
61′
🟨 Lewis Wing
68′
⚽ L. Wing 2–3
J. Howson
H. Cornick 🔁
↦ A. Shinnie
69′
70′
🔁 M. Browne
↦ M. Johnson
G. Moncur 🔁
↦ C. McManaman
74′
3–3 J. Collins ⚽
85′
86′
🔁 G. Saville
↦ P. McNair
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Luton

4-3-1-2
12 S. Sluga G
2 M. Cranie D
5 S. Bradley D
3 D. Potts D
6 M. Pearson D
11 A. Shinnie M
7 C. McManaman F
4 R. Tunnicliffe M
17 P. Ruddock M
19 J. Collins F
10 E. Lee M
Bench (7)
29 J. Butterfield
14 H. Cornick
20 G. Moncur
28 L. Jones
23 B. Galloway
8 L. Berry
36 J. Shea

Coach: G. Jones

Middlesbrough

4-3-3
23 D. Randolph G
5 R. Shotton D
4 Daniel Ayala D
33 H. Coulson D
16 J. Howson D
8 A. Clayton M
21 M. Johnson F
17 P. McNair M
26 L. Wing M
9 B. Assombalonga F
11 A. Fletcher F
Bench (7)
10 M. Browne
22 G. Saville
42 A. Pears
25 N. Wood-Gordon
14 R. Gestede
7 M. Tavernier
27 M. Bola

Coach: J. Woodgate

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,32
🔒
U ✓
3,28
🔒
B
3,19
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
2,06
🔒
U2,5
1,76
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

No matches played yet.

Referee

O Langford · 173 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,15 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.