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Eliteserien

Referee: Kristoffer Hagenes

Tromso

T S S S S

0–0

Full-time

Lillestrom

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tromso Lillestrom

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

2,3

2,0

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,7

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 4/3 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 46%

25%

67%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

2,5

2,3

Conceded

0,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+2,3

+1,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,15 xG 1,38

60% Possession 40%

12 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 3

6 Goalkeeper saves 6

6 Corners 5

19 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Tromso 1. · Lillestrom 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	4	4	0	0	+9	+7.4	12
2	Viking	4	3	0	1	+8	+5.2	9
3	Lillestrom	3	3	0	0	+5	+3.0	9
4	Valerenga	4	2	1	1	+2	-2.6	7
5	Fredrikstad	4	2	1	1	-1	-3.1	7
6	Molde	4	2	0	2	+1	+0.2	6
7	Sandefjord	4	2	0	2	-1	-0.4	6
8	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	1	1	+1	+1.3	4
9	KFUM Oslo	4	1	1	2	-1	+0.7	4
10	Brann	4	1	0	3	+1	+1.6	3
11	Bodo/Glimt	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.0	3
12	Kristiansund	3	1	0	2	-4	-2.5	3
13	Rosenborg	4	1	0	3	-5	-2.6	3
14	Ham-Kam	3	1	0	2	-6	-2.8	3
15	Aalesund	4	0	2	2	-3	-4.2	2
16	Start	4	0	2	2	-4	-1.3	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	3	3	0	0	+8	+6.8	9
2	Viking	2	2	0	0	+8	+2.5	6
3	Molde	3	2	0	1	+4	+0.9	6
4	Fredrikstad	2	1	1	0	+2	+0.2	4
5	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.1	3
6	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.2	3
7	Valerenga	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.5	3
8	Rosenborg	2	1	0	1	-1	+0.7	3
9	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
10	Ham-Kam	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.0	3
11	Sarpsborg 08	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
12	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
13	Aalesund	3	0	1	2	-3	-2.2	1
14	Brann	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.8	0
15	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.0	6
2	Sandefjord	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.4	6
3	Valerenga	2	1	1	0	+2	-0.1	4
4	Brann	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.8	3
5	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.3	3
6	Tromso	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
7	Viking	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.7	3
8	Bodo/Glimt	2	1	0	1	-2	+0.0	3
9	Fredrikstad	2	1	0	1	-3	-3.3	3
10	Aalesund	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.9	1
11	KFUM Oslo	2	0	1	1	-2	+0.8	1
12	Start	3	0	1	2	-4	-3.2	1
13	Kristiansund	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.1	0
14	Molde	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.7	0
15	Ham-Kam	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.8	0
16	Rosenborg	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.