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Eliteserien

Referee: Rohit Saggi

Lillestrom

S S S T S

3–1

Full-time

Start

S S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Start

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 58%

83%

33%

Points per game

2,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

2,0

1,5

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,3

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 2/3 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

3,0

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,5

2,0

Scored

2,0

0,7

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

1,81 xG 0,73

60% Possession 40%

12 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 5

2 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 18

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 3. · Start 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	3	3	0	0	+7	+6.3	9
2	Viking	3	2	0	1	+3	+3.4	6
3	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.0	6
4	Valerenga	3	2	0	1	+2	-2.7	6
5	Fredrikstad	3	2	0	1	-1	-3.0	6
6	Sarpsborg 08	2	1	1	0	+2	+1.8	4
7	Brann	3	1	0	2	+2	+0.2	3
8	KFUM Oslo	3	1	0	2	-1	-0.5	3
9	Molde	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.6	3
10	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
11	Sandefjord	3	1	0	2	-2	+1.0	3
12	Ham-Kam	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.0	3
13	Start	3	0	2	1	-2	-0.2	2
14	Aalesund	3	0	1	2	-3	-3.1	1
15	Rosenborg	3	0	0	3	-6	-3.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Tromso	2	2	0	0	+6	+5.7	6
2	Viking	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.7	3
3	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.3	3
4	KFUM Oslo	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.2	3
5	Molde	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.0	3
6	Valerenga	2	1	0	1	+0	-2.5	3
7	Kristiansund	2	1	0	1	-2	-1.4	3
8	Ham-Kam	2	1	0	1	-3	-2.0	3
9	Sarpsborg 08	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.0	1
10	Start	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.9	1
11	Brann	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
12	Rosenborg	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.2	0
13	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.8	0
14	Aalesund	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.1	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Lillestrom	2	2	0	0	+3	+2.0	6
2	Brann	2	1	0	1	+3	+0.8	3
3	Valerenga	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.2	3
4	Sarpsborg 08	1	1	0	0	+2	+0.8	3
5	Tromso	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
6	Viking	2	1	0	1	+0	+2.7	3
7	Sandefjord	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.8	3
8	Fredrikstad	2	1	0	1	-3	-3.3	3
9	Aalesund	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.9	1
10	Start	2	0	1	1	-2	-2.1	1
11	KFUM Oslo	1	0	0	1	-2	-0.3	0
12	Molde	1	0	0	1	-3	-0.7	0
13	Rosenborg	2	0	0	2	-4	-3.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.