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NM-cupen
Referee: M Lien
Egersund
U S S S T
2–3
Full-time
Aalesund
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Egersund Aalesund
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,7
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
This season — NM-cupen · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 100%
100%
100%
Average goals
4,3
4,0
Scored
2,7
3,0
Conceded
1,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Egersund 5. · Aalesund 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Lillestrom 4 4 0 0 +7 12
2 Tromsdalen Uil 4 3 0 1 +15 9
3 Aalesund 3 3 0 0 +6 9
4 Bjarg 4 3 0 1 +5 9
5 Egersund 3 3 0 0 +3 9
6 Kjelsås 3 2 1 0 +2 7
7 Kongsvinger 3 2 0 1 +6 6
8 Brann 2 2 0 0 +5 6
9 Viking 2 2 0 0 +5 6
10 Levanger 3 2 0 1 +4 6
11 Sandnes ULF 3 2 0 1 +4 6
12 Lysekloster 3 2 0 1 +4 6
13 Mjondalen 3 2 0 1 +3 6
14 Stabaek 3 2 0 1 +3 6
15 Lyn 3 2 0 1 +3 6
16 Bryne 2 2 0 0 +3 6
17 Bodo/Glimt 2 2 0 0 +3 6
18 KFUM Oslo 2 2 0 0 +3 6
19 Fredrikstad 2 2 0 0 +2 6
20 Eik-Tønsberg 3 2 0 1 +2 6
21 hodd 2 1 1 0 +2 4
22 Strommen 2 1 1 0 +2 4
23 Brattvåg 3 1 1 1 +1 4
24 Odd 3 1 1 1 +0 4
25 Follo 2 1 0 1 +2 3
26 Ham-Kam 2 1 0 1 +2 3
27 Hønefoss 2 1 0 1 +2 3
28 Vard 2 1 0 1 +2 3
29 Rosenborg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
30 Arendal 2 1 0 1 +0 3
31 Stjørdals-Blink 2 1 0 1 +0 3
32 Asker 2 1 0 1 +0 3
33 Tromso 2 1 0 1 +0 3
34 Start 2 1 0 1 +0 3
35 Moss 2 1 0 1 +0 3
36 Trygg/Lade 2 1 0 1 -1 3
37 Ulfstind 2 1 0 1 -2 3
38 Junkeren 2 1 0 1 -2 3
39 Gamle Oslo 2 1 0 1 -2 3
40 Asane 2 1 0 1 -2 3
41 Stromsgodset 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Sotra 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Sarpsborg 08 2 0 1 1 -1 1
44 Molde 2 0 1 1 -1 1
45 Djerv 2 0 1 1 -4 1
46 Alta 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Jerv 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Strindheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Gneist 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Kristiansund 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Valerenga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Ranheim 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Flekkerøy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Eidsvold 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Madla 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Råde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Flint 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Grorud 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Rana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Pors Grenland 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Nordstrand 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Ull/Kisa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Sogndal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 Førde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Haugesund 1 0 0 1 -3 0
67 Træff 1 0 0 1 -3 0
68 Lørenskog 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Vidar 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Skeid 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 Raufoss 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Sandviken 1 0 0 1 -3 0
73 Vigør 1 0 0 1 -3 0
74 Notodden 1 0 0 1 -4 0
75 Brumunddal 1 0 0 1 -4 0
76 Vestfossen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
77 Sandefjord 1 0 0 1 -5 0
78 Bærum 1 0 0 1 -5 0
79 Nardo 1 0 0 1 -6 0
80 Finnsnes 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Egersund Aalesund
5′
🟨 K. Klaesson
1–0 O. Kapskarmo
8′
21′
K. Lonebu 1–1
Half-time 1–1
I. Jonsson 🟨
55′
64′
🔁 A. Kjelsen
↦ M. Reed
64′
🔁 I. Djantou
↦ P. Aukland
2–1 S. Vatne
A. Ljungberg
69′
M. Haheim-Elveseter 🔁
↦ A. Ljungberg
70′
75′
🟨 J. Orsahl
80′
🔁 K. Nesso
↦ M. Andresen
80′
🔁 E. Osenbroch
↦ H. Melland
80′
🔁 E. Myrlid
↦ K. Lonebu
81′
E. Myrlid 2–2
K. Nesso
J. Ekeland 🔁
↦ S. Vatne
83′
86′
I. Djantou 2–3
E. Myrlid
P. Hovland 🔁
↦ N. Tornvig
91′
93′
🟨 E. Myrlid
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Egersund

1 A. A. Lonning S.
21 K. Eggen
31 I. Jonsson
3 B. Maeland
17 S. Westerlund
8 C. Sleveland
22 H. Tadesse
7 N. Tornvig
27 S. Vatne
11 A. Ljungberg
9 O. Kapskarmo
Bench (9)
12 S. Bergene
2 H. Kleppa
14 J. Lynum
16 J. Ekeland
18 P. Hovland
20 P. Hokstad
28 P. Chrupalla
29 M. Haheim-Elveseter
91 S. Davis

Coach: Endre Eide

Aalesund

1 K. Klaesson
45 P. Aukland
25 U. Syversen
22 E. Engqvist
2 M. Andresen
21 M. Christensen
6 H. Hammer
8 H. Melland
16 J. Orsahl
39 K. Lonebu
27 M. Reed
Bench (9)
26 T. Larsen
3 O. Gudmundsson
4 S. Haram
5 A. Kjelsen
7 K. Nesso
11 D. Johannsson
15 E. Osenbroch
17 E. Myrlid
20 I. Djantou

Coach: Kjetil-Andre Rekdal

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Lien · 97 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.