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Eliteserien

Referee: S Kringstad

Fredrikstad

U S T S S

2–2

Full-time

Sarpsborg 08

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fredrikstad Sarpsborg 08

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

2,7

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+1,7

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

1,0

0,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

3,82 xG 1,20

54% Possession 46%

18 Shots 5

6 Shots on target 5

6 Blocked shots 0

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 3

4 Offside 0

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fredrikstad 8. · Sarpsborg 08 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Molde	2	2	0	0	+5	+1.3	6
2	Bodo/Glimt	2	2	0	0	+3	+1.4	6
3	Kristiansund	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.8	4
4	Lillestrom	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.8	3
5	Rosenborg	2	1	0	1	+1	-0.7	3
6	Brann	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.4	3
7	Odd	2	1	0	1	+0	+1.1	3
8	Fredrikstad	2	1	0	1	+0	-1.4	3
9	Viking	2	1	0	1	+0	+0.9	3
10	Haugesund	2	1	0	1	-1	-1.1	3
11	Stromsgodset	2	1	0	1	-3	-1.3	3
12	KFUM Oslo	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.2	2
13	Ham-Kam	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.2	1
14	Tromso	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.4	0
15	Sarpsborg 08	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.9	0
16	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Molde	1	1	0	0	+4	+1.3	3
2	Rosenborg	1	1	0	0	+2	-0.7	3
3	Viking	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.9	3
4	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
5	Stromsgodset	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
6	Kristiansund	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
7	KFUM Oslo	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.2	1
8	Lillestrom	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
9	Odd	1	0	0	1	-1	+1.1	0
10	Sarpsborg 08	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
11	Ham-Kam	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
12	Tromso	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.4	0
13	Haugesund	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
14	Brann	1	0	0	1	-2	–	0
15	Fredrikstad	1	0	0	1	-2	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Brann	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
2	Lillestrom	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
3	Fredrikstad	1	1	0	0	+2	–	3
4	Bodo/Glimt	1	1	0	0	+2	+1.4	3
5	Kristiansund	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.8	3
6	Haugesund	1	1	0	0	+1	-1.1	3
7	Odd	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
8	Molde	1	1	0	0	+1	–	3
9	KFUM Oslo	1	0	1	0	+0	–	1
10	Ham-Kam	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.2	1
11	Sarpsborg 08	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
12	Viking	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
13	Rosenborg	1	0	0	1	-1	–	0
14	Sandefjord	1	0	0	1	-2	+0.7	0
15	Stromsgodset	1	0	0	1	-4	-1.3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.