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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
1–0
Full-time
Mechelen
S U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Seraing United Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 1/2 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,0
1,5
Conceded
2,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
10 Shots 10
4 Shots on target 4
2 Blocked shots 4
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 6
1 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Seraing United 17. · Mechelen 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Kortrijk 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Charleroi 2 1 1 0 +3 4
3 St Truiden 2 1 1 0 +1 4
4 Cercle Brugge 1 1 0 0 +1 3
5 Mechelen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
6 Seraing 2 1 0 1 -1 3
7 Oostende 2 1 0 1 -2 3
8 Club Brugge 1 0 1 0 +0 1
9 Eupen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
10 Standard 1 0 1 0 +0 1
11 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 1 0 1 0 +0 1
12 Waregem 1 0 1 0 +0 1
13 Genk 2 0 1 1 -1 1
14 Antwerp 1 0 0 1 -1 0
15 Gent 1 0 0 1 -1 0
16 Beerschot VA 1 0 0 1 -1 0
17 Seraing United 1 0 0 1 -2 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Seraing United Mechelen
1–0 M. Mouandilmadji
Y. Maziz
14′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🟨 Sandy Walsh
55′
🟨 Rob Schoofs
61′
🔁 N. Storm
↦ G. Hairemans
61′
🔁 G. Engvall
↦ F. Druijf
Ibrahima Cisse 🟨
69′
Gerald Kilota 🟨
75′
75′
🟨 Gustav Engvall
T. Pierrot 🔁
↦ M. Poaty
75′
75′
🔁 I. Swers
↦ L. Bijker
R. Djedje 🔁
↦ I. Cissé
80′
Theo Pierrot 🟨
89′
92′
🔁 O. Kaya
↦ K. Mrabti
F. D'Onofrio 🔁
↦ A. Jallow
93′
Full-time 1–0

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.