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Pro League

Referee: C Dierick

Charleroi

U T U U U

1–1

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

0,8

0,7

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,3

This season — Pro League · 34/31 matches

Win Ø 28%

32%

23%

Points per game

1,3

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

44%

39%

Both score Ø 54%

62%

45%

Average goals

2,6

2,4

Scored

1,3

0,9

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

15 Shots 17

6 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 6

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 5

5 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 12. · Royal Excel Mouscron 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	30	21	5	4	+46	68
2	Antwerp	30	17	7	6	+17	58
3	Waregem	35	17	4	14	-1	55
4	Genk	30	14	10	6	+18	52
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	34	14	10	10	+4	52
6	Beerschot VA	35	15	6	14	-3	51
7	Mechelen	30	14	7	9	+5	49
8	Anderlecht	31	10	16	5	+14	46
9	Gent	30	13	6	11	+14	45
10	Oostende	30	13	6	11	+5	45
11	Eupen	35	10	15	10	-6	45
12	Charleroi	34	11	11	12	+1	44
13	Kortrijk	35	12	6	17	-7	42
14	Cercle Brugge	36	13	2	21	-10	41
15	Standard	30	10	9	11	+0	39
16	St Truiden	34	9	9	16	-11	36
17	Mouscron	32	7	10	15	-19	31
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	31	7	9	15	-19	30
19	Waasland-Beveren	31	7	7	17	-24	28
20	Beveren	31	7	7	17	-24	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	16	9	5	2	+10	32
2	Club Brugge	14	10	1	3	+18	31
3	Genk	15	8	6	1	+17	30
4	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	16	9	2	5	+5	29
5	Anderlecht	16	6	9	1	+11	27
6	Oostende	15	8	3	4	+10	27
7	Beerschot VA	17	7	5	5	+4	26
8	Eupen	18	5	8	5	-2	23
9	Waregem	17	7	2	8	-7	23
10	St Truiden	18	6	4	8	-1	22
11	Gent	15	6	3	6	+8	21
12	Standard	15	5	6	4	+2	21
13	Charleroi	17	5	6	6	+1	21
14	Kortrijk	18	6	2	10	-7	20
15	Mechelen	15	5	4	6	+2	19
16	Cercle Brugge	18	6	1	11	-3	19
17	Mouscron	16	4	5	7	-4	17
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	16	4	5	7	-4	17
19	Waasland-Beveren	15	3	2	10	-16	11
20	Beveren	15	3	2	10	-16	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	16	11	4	1	+28	37
2	Waregem	18	10	2	6	+6	32
3	Mechelen	15	9	3	3	+3	30
4	Antwerp	14	8	2	4	+7	26
5	Beerschot VA	18	8	1	9	-7	25
6	Gent	15	7	3	5	+6	24
7	Charleroi	17	6	5	6	+0	23
8	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	18	5	8	5	-1	23
9	Genk	15	6	4	5	+1	22
10	Kortrijk	17	6	4	7	+0	22
11	Eupen	17	5	7	5	-4	22
12	Cercle Brugge	18	7	1	10	-7	22
13	Anderlecht	15	4	7	4	+3	19
14	Standard	15	5	3	7	-2	18
15	Oostende	15	5	3	7	-5	18
16	Waasland-Beveren	16	4	5	7	-8	17
17	Beveren	16	4	5	7	-8	17
18	St Truiden	16	3	5	8	-10	14
19	Mouscron	16	3	5	8	-15	14
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	3	4	8	-15	13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.