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Pro League

Referee: J Boterberg

Charleroi

U S U U U

1–2

Full-time

Genk

U S U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 84%

100%

67%

Average goals

2,8

2,7

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,7

This season — Pro League · 30/27 matches

Win Ø 41%

37%

44%

Points per game

1,4

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

47%

59%

Both score Ø 69%

60%

78%

Average goals

2,7

3,1

Scored

1,4

1,9

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,1

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%

13 Shots 13

4 Shots on target 4

0 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 6

2 Offside 0

7 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 10. · Genk 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	26	18	4	4	+38	58
2	Antwerp	28	16	7	5	+17	55
3	Waregem	32	16	4	12	+4	52
4	Mechelen	27	14	5	8	+6	47
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	31	13	8	10	+2	47
6	Genk	27	12	9	6	+15	45
7	Beerschot VA	30	13	4	13	-4	43
8	Gent	28	12	6	10	+17	42
9	Kortrijk	31	12	6	13	-1	42
10	Charleroi	30	11	8	11	+2	41
11	Anderlecht	28	8	15	5	+9	39
12	Oostende	26	11	6	9	+7	39
13	Standard	26	10	8	8	+4	38
14	Eupen	32	8	14	10	-10	38
15	St Truiden	31	8	8	15	-10	32
16	Cercle Brugge	31	10	2	19	-12	32
17	Mouscron	28	6	8	14	-19	26
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	28	6	8	14	-19	26
19	Waasland-Beveren	28	6	7	15	-23	25
20	Beveren	28	6	7	15	-23	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	15	8	5	2	+8	29
2	Club Brugge	13	9	1	3	+15	28
3	Oostende	13	8	3	2	+14	27
4	Genk	13	7	5	1	+15	26
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	8	2	5	+3	26
6	Beerschot VA	15	7	3	5	+4	24
7	Anderlecht	14	5	8	1	+8	23
8	Waregem	17	7	2	8	-7	23
9	Standard	14	5	6	3	+4	21
10	Kortrijk	16	6	2	8	-5	20
11	St Truiden	16	5	4	7	+0	19
12	Eupen	16	4	7	5	-4	19
13	Gent	13	5	3	5	+11	18
14	Mechelen	14	5	3	6	+2	18
15	Charleroi	13	5	3	5	+2	18
16	Mouscron	14	3	5	6	-4	14
17	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	3	5	6	-4	14
18	Waasland-Beveren	14	3	2	9	-15	11
19	Beveren	14	3	2	9	-15	11
20	Cercle Brugge	15	3	1	11	-8	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	13	9	3	1	+23	30
2	Waregem	15	9	2	4	+11	29
3	Mechelen	13	9	2	2	+4	29
4	Antwerp	13	8	2	3	+9	26
5	Gent	15	7	3	5	+6	24
6	Charleroi	17	6	5	6	+0	23
7	Kortrijk	15	6	4	5	+4	22
8	Cercle Brugge	16	7	1	8	-4	22
9	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	16	5	6	5	-1	21
10	Genk	14	5	4	5	+0	19
11	Eupen	16	4	7	5	-6	19
12	Beerschot VA	15	6	1	8	-8	19
13	Standard	12	5	2	5	+0	17
14	Anderlecht	14	3	7	4	+1	16
15	Waasland-Beveren	14	3	5	6	-8	14
16	Beveren	14	3	5	6	-8	14
17	St Truiden	15	3	4	8	-10	13
18	Oostende	13	3	3	7	-7	12
19	Mouscron	14	3	3	8	-15	12
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	3	3	8	-15	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.