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Pro League
Referee: W De Cremer
1–0
Full-time
Standard
U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Standard
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,0
Conceded
2,2
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,3
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 29/28 matches
Win Ø 29%
21%
36%
Points per game
0,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 48%
41%
54%
Both score Ø 56%
48%
64%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

36% Possession 64%
9 Shots 20
0 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 5
4 Goalkeeper saves 0
3 Corners 14
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 18. · Standard 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 26 18 4 4 +38 58
2 Antwerp 30 17 7 6 +17 58
3 Waregem 33 17 4 12 +5 55
4 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 33 14 9 10 +4 51
5 Beerschot VA 34 15 6 13 -2 51
6 Genk 28 13 9 6 +16 48
7 Mechelen 27 14 5 8 +6 47
8 Gent 28 12 6 10 +17 42
9 Anderlecht 29 9 15 5 +11 42
10 Charleroi 32 11 9 12 +1 42
11 Kortrijk 33 12 6 15 -4 42
12 Eupen 34 9 15 10 -8 42
13 Oostende 26 11 6 9 +7 39
14 Standard 28 10 8 10 +1 38
15 Cercle Brugge 33 12 2 19 -8 38
16 St Truiden 33 8 9 16 -12 33
17 Mouscron 30 7 9 14 -18 30
18 Royal Excel Mouscron 29 6 9 14 -19 27
19 Waasland-Beveren 30 6 7 17 -26 25
20 Beveren 30 6 7 17 -26 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Royal Excel Mouscron Standard
0–1 H. Siquet
own goal
37′
Half-time 0–1
59′
🔁 A. Tapsoba
↦ M. Carcela-González
D. Nlandu 🔁
↦ Bruno Xadas
66′
66′
🔁 W. Balikwisha
↦ H. Siquet
Fabrice Olinga 🟨
73′
H. Harbaoui 🔁
↦ S. Tabekou
78′
78′
🔁 L. Jans
↦ N. Raskin
A. Gueye 🔁
↦ F. Olinga
89′
Marko Bakić 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Konstantinos Laifis
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Royal Excel Mouscron

4-2-3-1
16 H. Koffi G
13 A. Ciranni D
5 S. Agouzoul D
54 C. Lepoint D
6 D. Hočko M
10 M. Bakić M
11 D. Mohamed D
7 F. Olinga M
23 Bruno Xadas M
20 Nuno da Costa F
70 S. Tabekou M
Bench (7)
39 D. Nlandu
9 H. Harbaoui
4 A. Gueye
31 H. Gnohéré
21 N. Gillekens
29 B. Badibanga
14 I. Faraj

Coach: Jorge Simão

Standard

3-4-1-2
16 A. Bodart G
34 K. Laifis D
20 M. Bokadi D
5 M. Sissako D
41 H. Siquet M
10 M. Carcela-González F
22 M. Lestienne M
8 G. Cimirot M
26 N. Raskin M
14 Klauss F
17 J. Muleka F
Bench (7)
23 A. Tapsoba
11 W. Balikwisha
27 L. Jans
1 J. Gillet
33 D. Pavlovic
21 C. Fai
6 N. Dussenne

Coach: M. Leye

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

W De Cremer · 93 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.