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Pro League

Referee: J Vergoote

Beerschot VA

S T T S U

2–2

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

U U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Beerschot VA Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

2,7

Scored

1,2

0,8

Conceded

1,2

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,0

This season — Pro League · 31/28 matches

Win Ø 32%

42%

21%

Points per game

1,4

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

74%

39%

Both score Ø 59%

71%

46%

Average goals

3,7

2,4

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

1,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

8 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 0

4 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 2

9 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Beerschot VA 7. · Royal Excel Mouscron 18. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Club Brugge	26	18	4	4	+38	58
2	Antwerp	28	16	7	5	+17	55
3	Waregem	33	17	4	12	+5	55
4	Genk	28	13	9	6	+16	48
5	Mechelen	27	14	5	8	+6	47
6	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	31	13	8	10	+2	47
7	Beerschot VA	31	13	5	13	-4	44
8	Gent	28	12	6	10	+17	42
9	Anderlecht	29	9	15	5	+11	42
10	Kortrijk	32	12	6	14	-2	42
11	Charleroi	31	11	8	12	+1	41
12	Oostende	26	11	6	9	+7	39
13	Standard	27	10	8	9	+2	38
14	Cercle Brugge	33	12	2	19	-8	38
15	Eupen	32	8	14	10	-10	38
16	St Truiden	31	8	8	15	-10	32
17	Mouscron	29	6	9	14	-19	27
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	28	6	8	14	-19	26
19	Waasland-Beveren	29	6	7	16	-25	25
20	Beveren	29	6	7	16	-25	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	15	8	5	2	+8	29
2	Club Brugge	13	9	1	3	+15	28
3	Oostende	13	8	3	2	+14	27
4	Genk	13	7	5	1	+15	26
5	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	15	8	2	5	+3	26
6	Beerschot VA	16	7	4	5	+4	25
7	Anderlecht	14	5	8	1	+8	23
8	Waregem	17	7	2	8	-7	23
9	Standard	15	5	6	4	+2	21
10	Kortrijk	17	6	2	9	-6	20
11	St Truiden	16	5	4	7	+0	19
12	Eupen	16	4	7	5	-4	19
13	Gent	13	5	3	5	+11	18
14	Mechelen	14	5	3	6	+2	18
15	Charleroi	14	5	3	6	+1	18
16	Cercle Brugge	17	5	1	11	-4	16
17	Mouscron	14	3	5	6	-4	14
18	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	3	5	6	-4	14
19	Waasland-Beveren	14	3	2	9	-15	11
20	Beveren	14	3	2	9	-15	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	16	10	2	4	+12	32
2	Club Brugge	13	9	3	1	+23	30
3	Mechelen	13	9	2	2	+4	29
4	Antwerp	13	8	2	3	+9	26
5	Gent	15	7	3	5	+6	24
6	Charleroi	17	6	5	6	+0	23
7	Kortrijk	15	6	4	5	+4	22
8	Genk	15	6	4	5	+1	22
9	Cercle Brugge	16	7	1	8	-4	22
10	Oud-Heverlee Leuven	16	5	6	5	-1	21
11	Anderlecht	15	4	7	4	+3	19
12	Eupen	16	4	7	5	-6	19
13	Beerschot VA	15	6	1	8	-8	19
14	Standard	12	5	2	5	+0	17
15	Waasland-Beveren	15	3	5	7	-10	14
16	Beveren	15	3	5	7	-10	14
17	St Truiden	15	3	4	8	-10	13
18	Mouscron	15	3	4	8	-15	13
19	Oostende	13	3	3	7	-7	12
20	Royal Excel Mouscron	14	3	3	8	-15	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.