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Super League
Referee: Ə Ağayev
Panathinaikos
T U T S U
3–0
Full-time
PAOK
T U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Panathinaikos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
50%
100%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,7
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Super League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 48%
48%
48%
Points per game
1,7
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 45%
28%
62%
Both score Ø 49%
38%
59%
Average goals
1,9
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,9
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

50% Possession 50%
3 Shots 9
3 Shots on target 3
3 Goalkeeper saves 0
1 Corners 14
2 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 18
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Panathinaikos 6. · PAOK 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 30 24 5 1 +54 77
2 PAOK 29 14 9 6 +24 51
3 Aris Thessalonikis 27 15 6 6 +17 51
4 Aris 27 15 6 6 +17 51
5 AEK 29 15 6 8 +9 51
6 Panathinaikos 29 14 7 8 +11 49
7 Asteras Tripolis 29 12 10 7 +2 46
8 Giannina 30 9 9 12 -3 36
9 Volos NFC 30 8 11 11 -9 35
10 Atromitos 30 6 12 12 -15 30
11 Lamia 30 7 9 14 -21 30
12 Apollon 30 8 5 17 -13 29
13 OFI Crete 30 6 5 19 -24 23
14 Panetolikos 30 4 10 16 -23 22
15 Larisa 30 4 8 18 -26 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Panathinaikos PAOK
26′
🟨 Stefan Schwab
36′
🟨 Abdul Rahman Baba
1–0 F. Macheda
T. Chatzigiovanis
38′
Half-time 1–0
Achilleas Poungouras 🟨
53′
62′
🔁 C. Tzolis
↦ T. Murg
70′
🔁 Amr Warda
↦ S. Schwab
70′
🔁 M. Krmenčík
↦ K. Świderski
F. Sánchez 🔁
↦ Maurício
74′
F. Ioannidis 🔁
↦ F. Macheda
78′
Aitor Cantalapiedra 🔁
↦ T. Chatzigiovanis
78′
79′
🟨 José Ángel Crespo
2–0 L. Villafáñez
79′
Cheikh Niasse 🟨
81′
3–0 Aitor Cantalapiedra
Y. Mollo
85′
A. Kampetsis 🔁
↦ C. Niasse
87′
Bart Schenkeveld 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Omar El Kaddouri
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Panathinaikos

4-3-3
1 S. Dioudis G
5 B. Schenkeveld D
3 Juan Carlos D
44 A. Poungouras D
58 Y. Mollo M
19 L. Villafáñez M
88 Maurício M
11 T. Chatzigiovanis M
17 C. Niasse M
55 S. Alexandropoulos M
9 F. Macheda F
Bench (9)
14 F. Sánchez
27 F. Ioannidis
22 Aitor Cantalapiedra
99 A. Kampetsis
12 I. Chatzitheodoridis
10 Carlitos López
23 Y. N'Gbakoto
68 N. Christogeorgos
18 I. Bouzoukis

Coach: L. Bölöni

PAOK

4-3-3
31 A. Paschalakis G
15 José Crespo D
4 S. Ingason D
2 Rodrigo Alves M
21 A. Baba D
7 O. El Kaddouri M
22 S. Schwab M
10 T. Murg M
14 A. Živković F
33 Douglas M
9 K. Świderski F
Bench (9)
11 C. Tzolis
8 Amr Warda
27 M. Krmenčík
20 Vieirinha
51 T. Tsiggaras
88 Ž. Živković
5 Fernando Varela
65 I. Konstantelias
97 L. Lamprou

Coach: P. García

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
3,58
U
3,12
B
2,11
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,37
U2,5
1,56
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ə Ağayev · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.