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Pro League

Referee: Christof Dierick

Royal Excel Mouscron

T S T S S

3–0

Full-time

Charleroi

S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — Pro League · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 35%

26%

43%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

52%

61%

Both score Ø 59%

48%

70%

Average goals

2,1

2,9

Scored

0,9

1,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

6 Corners 2

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 12. · Charleroi 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	St Truiden	23	9	9	5	+8	36
2	Genk	16	10	4	2	+20	34
3	Antwerp	15	11	1	3	+11	34
4	Charleroi	23	10	4	9	+4	34
5	Gent	15	10	2	3	+16	32
6	Standard	16	9	5	2	+15	32
7	Club Brugge	16	9	3	4	+16	30
8	Anderlecht	16	9	3	4	+11	30
9	Kortrijk	23	7	7	9	-4	28
10	Eupen	23	9	1	13	-14	28
11	Cercle Brugge	23	7	5	11	-16	26
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	23	6	5	12	-9	23
13	Waregem	23	6	5	12	-11	23
14	Oostende	23	6	5	12	-18	23
15	Beveren	23	4	10	9	-7	22
16	Lokeren	23	3	5	15	-22	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Charleroi	12	7	1	4	+5	22
2	St Truiden	11	5	5	1	+7	20
3	Gent	8	6	1	1	+11	19
4	Cercle Brugge	12	6	1	5	-3	19
5	Anderlecht	8	5	3	0	+11	18
6	Eupen	12	6	0	6	-2	18
7	Standard	7	5	2	0	+10	17
8	Genk	9	5	2	2	+8	17
9	Club Brugge	8	5	1	2	+12	16
10	Antwerp	8	5	1	2	+5	16
11	Waregem	11	4	3	4	+3	15
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	4	3	4	+0	15
13	Oostende	11	4	2	5	-5	14
14	Beveren	11	2	6	3	-1	12
15	Kortrijk	11	3	3	5	-4	12
16	Lokeren	12	3	3	6	-10	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Antwerp	7	6	0	1	+6	18
2	Genk	7	5	2	0	+12	17
3	St Truiden	12	4	4	4	+1	16
4	Kortrijk	12	4	4	4	+0	16
5	Standard	9	4	3	2	+5	15
6	Club Brugge	8	4	2	2	+4	14
7	Gent	7	4	1	2	+5	13
8	Anderlecht	8	4	0	4	+0	12
9	Charleroi	11	3	3	5	-1	12
10	Beveren	12	2	4	6	-6	10
11	Eupen	11	3	1	7	-12	10
12	Oostende	12	2	3	7	-13	9
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	12	2	2	8	-9	8
14	Waregem	12	2	2	8	-14	8
15	Cercle Brugge	11	1	4	6	-13	7
16	Lokeren	11	0	2	9	-12	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.