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Eredivisie

Referee: M van den Kerkhof

PSV Eindhoven

S U S U T

3–0

Full-time

Heracles

T U S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

PSV Eindhoven Heracles

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,8

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 27/27 matches

Win Ø 48%

59%

37%

Points per game

2,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 60%

67%

52%

Both score Ø 56%

67%

44%

Average goals

3,3

2,6

Scored

2,2

1,1

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,1

-0,3

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

59% Possession 41%

15 Shots 5

7 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 3

1 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 16

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match PSV Eindhoven 3. · Heracles 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	26	21	3	2	+64	66
2	AZ Alkmaar	28	17	7	4	+26	58
3	PSV Eindhoven	27	16	7	4	+29	55
4	Vitesse	28	17	4	7	+18	55
5	Feyenoord	26	14	7	5	+28	49
6	Groningen	27	13	6	8	+4	45
7	Utrecht	24	10	8	6	+7	38
8	Twente	28	9	10	9	+3	37
9	Heracles	27	10	6	11	-9	36
10	Heerenveen	27	8	10	9	-2	34
11	For Sittard	28	10	4	14	-10	34
12	Sparta Rotterdam	27	9	6	12	-4	33
13	Zwolle	28	6	11	11	-9	29
14	Waalwijk	27	6	8	13	-14	26
15	Willem II	28	5	7	16	-26	22
16	VVV Venlo	28	6	4	18	-34	22
17	FC Emmen	27	2	9	16	-32	15
18	Den Haag	27	2	9	16	-39	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	11	1	1	+31	34
2	Vitesse	14	10	3	1	+15	33
3	PSV Eindhoven	13	10	2	1	+20	32
4	AZ Alkmaar	14	9	2	3	+13	29
5	Feyenoord	12	8	3	1	+22	27
6	Groningen	14	7	5	2	+7	26
7	Heerenveen	13	6	4	3	+8	22
8	Heracles	14	6	3	5	+5	21
9	Utrecht	13	5	5	3	+2	20
10	Zwolle	14	4	6	4	+0	18
11	Waalwijk	14	4	4	6	-2	16
12	Sparta Rotterdam	14	4	3	7	-2	15
13	Twente	14	3	5	6	-2	14
14	For Sittard	14	4	2	8	-7	14
15	Willem II	14	4	2	8	-11	14
16	VVV Venlo	14	3	3	8	-20	12
17	FC Emmen	13	1	4	8	-17	7
18	Den Haag	13	0	6	7	-13	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	13	10	2	1	+33	32
2	AZ Alkmaar	14	8	5	1	+13	29
3	PSV Eindhoven	14	6	5	3	+9	23
4	Twente	14	6	5	3	+5	23
5	Feyenoord	14	6	4	4	+6	22
6	Vitesse	14	7	1	6	+3	22
7	For Sittard	14	6	2	6	-3	20
8	Groningen	13	6	1	6	-3	19
9	Utrecht	11	5	3	3	+5	18
10	Sparta Rotterdam	13	5	3	5	-2	18
11	Heracles	13	4	3	6	-14	15
12	Heerenveen	14	2	6	6	-10	12
13	Zwolle	14	2	5	7	-9	11
14	Waalwijk	13	2	4	7	-12	10
15	VVV Venlo	14	3	1	10	-14	10
16	Den Haag	14	2	3	9	-26	9
17	Willem II	14	1	5	8	-15	8
18	FC Emmen	14	1	5	8	-15	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.