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Süper Lig
Referee: Halil Umut Meler
Kasimpasa
T T U U T
1–0
Full-time
Besiktas
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kasimpasa Besiktas
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
17%
83%
Points per game
0,8
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,5
This season — Süper Lig · 30/29 matches
Win Ø 48%
27%
69%
Points per game
1,0
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
50%
66%
Both score Ø 54%
53%
55%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,1
2,2
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

35% Possession 65%
11 Shots 16
4 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 5
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
0 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kasimpasa 18. · Besiktas 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 29 20 4 5 +33 64
2 Galatasaray 31 19 4 8 +31 61
3 Fenerbahce 30 18 5 7 +23 59
4 Trabzonspor 31 16 8 7 +9 56
5 Alanyaspor 31 14 7 10 +18 49
6 Hatayspor 30 14 7 9 +15 49
7 Gaziantep 30 12 11 7 +10 47
8 Karagumruk 31 12 9 10 +8 45
9 Sivasspor 30 9 14 7 +2 41
10 Goztep 31 10 10 11 +2 40
11 Konyaspor 30 10 9 11 +1 39
12 Antalyaspor 31 8 15 8 -8 39
13 Rizespor 30 8 11 11 -11 35
14 Buyuksehyr 31 8 9 14 -14 33
15 Yeni Malatyaspor 30 7 11 12 -6 32
16 Ankaragücü 30 9 5 16 -13 32
17 Kayserispor 30 8 8 14 -16 32
18 Kasimpasa 30 8 7 15 -14 31
19 Genclerbirligi 30 8 6 16 -24 30
20 Erzurumspor 31 6 9 16 -22 27
21 Denizlispor 29 6 7 16 -24 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kasimpasa Besiktas
1–0 A. Kara
K. Varga
19′
Half-time 1–0
Isaac Kiese Thelin ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
55′
Aytaç Kara 🟨
57′
57′
🔁 G. Töre
↦ A. Ljajić
K. Bistrović 🔁
↦ A. Kara
66′
A. Koç 🔁
↦ G. Koomson
66′
72′
🔁 O. Özyakup
↦ N. Uysal
Ertuğrul Taşkıran 🟨
75′
D. Drinkwater 🔁
↦ K. Varga
75′
Duško Tošić 🟨
83′
89′
🟨 Welinton
T. Serbest 🔁
↦ H. Hajradinović
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Kasimpasa

4-2-3-1
33 E. Taşkıran G
13 D. Tošić D
3 O. Haddadi D
94 F. Hadërgjonaj D
32 D. Luckassen D
6 L. Sadiku M
35 A. Kara M
10 H. Hajradinović M
21 K. Varga M
92 I. Thelin F
14 G. Koomson M
Bench (10)
26 K. Bistrović
7 A. Koç
4 D. Drinkwater
5 T. Serbest
25 T. Břečka
18 E. Elmalı
34 D. Haspolat
1 R. Köse
9 F. Koita
23 M. Yıldırım

Coach: S. Çeri

Besiktas

4-1-4-1
30 E. Destanoğlu G
24 D. Vida D
21 F. N'Sakala D
23 Welinton D
2 V. Rosier M
13 A. Hutchinson M
5 Josef de Souza M
22 A. Ljajić M
20 N. Uysal D
7 G. N'Koudou M
17 C. Larin F
Bench (8)
70 G. Töre
10 O. Özyakup
97 U. Yuvakuran
4 Javi Montero
33 R. Yılmaz
28 B. Ceylan
61 E. Bilgin
46 S. Saatçı

Coach: S. Yalçın

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
4,86
U
4,04
B
1,63
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,14
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Halil Umut Meler · 39 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.