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Ligue 1

Referee: B Dechepy

Lorient

T S U U U

1–0

Full-time

Brest

T T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lorient Brest

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,5

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,5

This season — Ligue 1 · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 28%

23%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 62%

53%

70%

Both score Ø 60%

60%

Average goals

3,0

3,2

Scored

1,2

1,4

Conceded

1,8

Goal diff per game

-0,6

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

13 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

6 Corners 5

3 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 23

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Lorient 17. · Brest 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	31	19	9	3	+32	66
2	Paris SG	31	20	3	8	+45	63
3	Monaco	31	19	5	7	+26	62
4	Lyon	31	17	10	4	+29	61
5	Lens	31	13	10	8	+4	49
6	Marseille	30	12	9	9	+2	45
7	Montpellier	31	12	9	10	-1	45
8	Rennes	30	12	8	10	+4	44
9	Metz	31	11	9	11	+0	42
10	Angers	31	11	8	12	-10	41
11	Nice	30	11	6	13	-2	39
12	Reims	30	9	11	10	+0	38
13	Bordeaux	30	10	6	14	-6	36
14	Brest	30	10	5	15	-10	35
15	Strasbourg	30	9	6	15	-7	33
16	St Etienne	30	8	9	13	-16	33
17	Lorient	30	7	8	15	-18	29
18	Nimes	30	8	5	17	-26	29
19	Nantes	30	5	13	12	-15	28
20	Dijon	30	2	9	19	-31	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monaco	16	10	5	1	+19	35
2	Lille	16	9	5	2	+15	32
3	Paris SG	16	10	1	5	+24	31
4	Lyon	15	9	3	3	+15	30
5	Brest	15	8	2	5	+4	26
6	Marseille	15	7	4	4	+5	25
7	Montpellier	16	7	2	7	+0	23
8	Lens	15	5	6	4	+1	21
9	Rennes	15	6	3	6	-2	21
10	Lorient	15	6	2	7	-5	20
11	Metz	15	5	4	6	+0	19
12	Bordeaux	15	5	4	6	-2	19
13	Reims	14	4	6	4	-1	18
14	Angers	15	5	3	7	-5	18
15	Nice	15	5	2	8	-6	17
16	Strasbourg	15	4	4	7	-3	16
17	St Etienne	15	3	6	6	-11	15
18	Nantes	15	2	8	5	-8	14
19	Nimes	15	3	3	9	-12	12
20	Dijon	16	0	6	10	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lille	15	10	4	1	+17	34
2	Paris SG	15	10	2	3	+21	32
3	Lyon	16	8	7	1	+14	31
4	Lens	16	8	4	4	+3	28
5	Monaco	15	9	0	6	+7	27
6	Rennes	15	6	5	4	+6	23
7	Metz	16	6	5	5	+0	23
8	Angers	16	6	5	5	-5	23
9	Nice	15	6	4	5	+4	22
10	Montpellier	15	5	7	3	-1	22
11	Reims	16	5	5	6	+1	20
12	Marseille	15	5	5	5	-3	20
13	St Etienne	15	5	3	7	-5	18
14	Strasbourg	15	5	2	8	-4	17
15	Bordeaux	15	5	2	8	-4	17
16	Nimes	15	5	2	8	-14	17
17	Nantes	15	3	5	7	-7	14
18	Lorient	15	1	6	8	-13	9
19	Dijon	14	2	3	9	-14	9
20	Brest	15	2	3	10	-14	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.