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Super League
Aris
U S U S T
2–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Aris Asteras Tripolis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
1,8
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,2
Conceded
0,7
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,0
This season — Super League · 27/29 matches
Win Ø 49%
56%
41%
Points per game
1,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
33%
38%
Both score Ø 34%
26%
41%
Average goals
1,9
2,1
Scored
1,3
1,1
Conceded
0,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

10 Shots 7
7 Shots on target 1
4 Corners 5
19 Free kicks against 22
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Aris 5. · Asteras Tripolis 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Olympiakos 30 24 5 1 +54 77
2 Panathinaikos 30 15 7 8 +14 52
3 PAOK 30 14 9 7 +21 51
4 Aris Thessalonikis 27 15 6 6 +17 51
5 Aris 27 15 6 6 +17 51
6 AEK 29 15 6 8 +9 51
7 Asteras Tripolis 29 12 10 7 +2 46
8 Giannina 30 9 9 12 -3 36
9 Volos NFC 30 8 11 11 -9 35
10 Atromitos 30 6 12 12 -15 30
11 Lamia 30 7 9 14 -21 30
12 Apollon 30 8 5 17 -13 29
13 OFI Crete 30 6 5 19 -24 23
14 Panetolikos 30 4 10 16 -23 22
15 Larisa 30 4 8 18 -26 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,53
U
3,81
B
6,28
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,33
U2,5 ✓
1,58
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.