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2. Bundesliga

Nurnberg

S U T U U

2–1

Full-time

Paderborn

U T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nurnberg Paderborn

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,2

This season — 2. Bundesliga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 31%

27%

35%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 46%

46%

Both score Ø 58%

65%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,5

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

16 Shots 9

5 Shots on target 5

6 Corners 4

11 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nurnberg 14. · Paderborn 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	27	17	3	7	+23	54
2	Greuther Furth	27	14	8	5	+19	50
3	Hamburg	26	14	7	5	+23	49
4	Holstein Kiel	25	13	7	5	+15	46
5	Karlsruhe	27	12	6	9	+6	42
6	Fortuna Dusseldorf	26	11	7	8	+1	40
7	Heidenheim	26	11	6	9	+2	39
8	Erzgebirge Aue	26	10	6	10	-1	36
9	Hannover	24	10	5	9	+8	35
10	Paderborn	26	9	8	9	+2	35
11	St Pauli	26	9	8	9	-4	35
12	Darmstadt	26	9	5	12	-2	32
13	Regensburg	25	7	9	9	-5	30
14	Nurnberg	26	7	8	11	-7	29
15	Osnabruck	26	7	5	14	-15	26
16	Braunschweig	26	6	8	12	-21	26
17	Sandhausen	26	6	4	16	-19	22
18	Wurzburger Kickers	25	4	4	17	-25	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bochum	14	9	2	3	+17	29
2	Hamburg	13	8	3	2	+18	27
3	Heidenheim	13	8	3	2	+13	27
4	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	8	3	2	+6	27
5	Erzgebirge Aue	13	7	4	2	+8	25
6	Holstein Kiel	12	7	2	3	+5	23
7	Paderborn	13	6	4	3	+4	22
8	Hannover	11	6	3	2	+11	21
9	Greuther Furth	13	6	3	4	+6	21
10	Braunschweig	14	6	3	5	-3	21
11	Sandhausen	13	5	4	4	+2	19
12	Regensburg	13	5	4	4	+2	19
13	St Pauli	13	5	3	5	-3	18
14	Darmstadt	13	5	2	6	+1	17
15	Karlsruhe	14	4	4	6	+0	16
16	Nurnberg	13	3	5	5	-4	14
17	Wurzburger Kickers	13	3	4	6	-7	13
18	Osnabruck	12	2	1	9	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Greuther Furth	14	8	5	1	+13	29
2	Karlsruhe	13	8	2	3	+6	26
3	Bochum	13	8	1	4	+6	25
4	Holstein Kiel	13	6	5	2	+10	23
5	Hamburg	13	6	4	3	+5	22
6	Osnabruck	14	5	4	5	-6	19
7	St Pauli	13	4	5	4	-1	17
8	Darmstadt	13	4	3	6	-3	15
9	Nurnberg	13	4	3	6	-3	15
10	Hannover	13	4	2	7	-3	14
11	Paderborn	13	3	4	6	-2	13
12	Fortuna Dusseldorf	13	3	4	6	-5	13
13	Heidenheim	13	3	3	7	-11	12
14	Regensburg	12	2	5	5	-7	11
15	Erzgebirge Aue	13	3	2	8	-9	11
16	Braunschweig	12	0	5	7	-18	5
17	Wurzburger Kickers	12	1	0	11	-18	3
18	Sandhausen	13	1	0	12	-21	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.